The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.
Raheem Blackshear (Bills) — Over 35.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (8)
I’m expecting Blackshear to get a heavy workload in tonight’s game. Devin Singletary is expected to rest, along with the rest of the starters. Zack Moss and James Cook are both likely to make the team, so they should both see a fairly limited workload.
Blackshear will likely be the workhorse back in the second half, and he has been heavily used in the passing game, so I like targeting his rushing and receiving market. I’m projecting him closer to 45.5 rushing and receiving yards.
P.J. Walker (Panthers) — Under 120.5 Passing Yards (9)
Baker Mayfield is expected to start and play 1-1 1/2 quarters. I would imagine they will want to give Sam Darnold at least a quarter as well. That leaves P.J. Walker with somewhere between 1-2 quarters.
Even if Walker was to play the entire second half, he’s likely to stay under this number. I’m projecting his median outcome to be closer to 90.5 passing yards.
Spencer Brown (Panthers) — Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (7)
Editor's note: Brown is inactive.
Spencer Brown is week-to-week after injuring his ankle during last Friday’s game against the Bills. He may not even suit up for tonight’s game, meaning this prop could end up being a DNP “push” (keep that in mind when setting your picks). However, if he does suit up it could be for a brief appearance.
I’m projecting him closer to 18.5 rushing yards.
Travis Homer (Seahawks) — Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (8)
Travis Homer could start tonight’s game with both Rashaad Penny and Kenneth Walker ruled out. There is a chance both he and DeeJay Dallas are limited in tonight’s game. Plus, Homer is more of a pass-catching back and might play tonight in more of a third-down back role (as that will likely be his Week 1 role).
I expect Darwin Thompson to see a ton of work tonight, with Josh Johnson potentially mixing in. I’m projecting Homer closer to 20.5 rush yards.
Easton Stick (Chargers) — Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (8)
Easton Stick should play 2+ quarters tonight and given his rushing upside, this prop seems too low. He ran for 24 yards last week thanks to this scramble:
3rd & 13 is no problem for Easton Stick. 💨
📺: #DALvsLAC on @NFLNetwork (check local listings)
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/mnJpjKDBN0pic.twitter.com/luckuZn8bK— NFL (@NFL) August 21, 2022
I can see him having 1-2 scrambles against a vanilla/zone defense in the second half to easily clear this number. I’m projecting him closer to 12.5 rush yards.
Josh Hammond (Patriots) — Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (7)
The Patriots are extremely thin at WR following injuries to both Tyquan Thornton and Kristian Wilkerson. Even if they end up playing their starters, it would likely be very brief. Hammond has zero receptions through two preseason games, but he has drawn six targets on 48 routes run.
Hammond should continue to see playing time, and targets so I’m banking on him finally catching a pass (or three) tonight. He has an aDot of 15.3 which means he could clear this on a single reception. I’m projecting him closer to 23.5 receiving yards.
DJ Turner (Raiders) — Over 1.5 Receptions (8)
DJ Turner should continue to see a ton of playing time with the starters expected to rest again tonight. His 11% targets per route run is disappointing, but he has looked great when he’s been targeted. I’m expecting his target rate to go up a bit tonight and think he’s a good bet for two or more receptions.
