Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, reveals his favorite NFL props for Titans-49ers on Thursday Night Football. He has a 503-398-9 (55%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app, where you can follow all of his picks.
NFL Props: Titans-49ers-Titans
D'Onta Foreman Over 48.5 Rush Yards
After Derrick Henry went down in Week 8, things were looking a little bleak for the Titans. But Foreman has emerged as the Henry replacement in this offense.
The Titans have been very run heavy of late, average 38.2 team rush attempts over the past three games, despite going only 1-2 over that stretch. Foreman himself is coming off of a 22 touch, 108-yard performance on the ground last week against The Steelers.
I like the Titans +3.5 tonight, meaning I foresee this game featuring a more positive, run-heavy game script than the market thinks. The return of A.J. Brown and Julio Jones to the lineup should help take defensive pressure off of Foreman. Plus Tennessee can use Foreman heavily to set up the play action.
Despite the 49ers having a very good run defense (second in Football Outsiders’ DVOA) and the Titans offensive line being without Taylor Lewan and Rodger Saffold, I believe Foreman will see enough rush attempts to overcome a decrease in efficiency.
I project Foreman closer to 15 carries and 60 rush yards on Thursday Night Football. I would bet this up to 53.5.
Pick: Over 48.5 Rush Yards (-115) at DraftKings
What Are NFL Player Prop Bets?
Bets on a player's statistics or various outcomes can be considered a player prop. Betting on the over or under on a quarterback's passing yards, over or under on a wide receiver's number of receptions, and whether a running back will score a touchdown are all considered player props.
To learn more about the various types of props you can bet on, check out our Betting 101 series.
