Our Director of Predictive Analytics reveals his favorite NFL prop for Cowboys-WFT on Sunday Night Football. He has a 506-401-9 (55%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app, where you can follow all his picks.
NFL Props: Cowboys-WFT
Amari Cooper Under 54.5 Rec Yards
I’ve been attacking Cooper’s under for the past couple weeks now as the market hasn’t adjusted to his output of late. He hasn't cleared 52.5 receiving yards since Week 8, with five straight games below this line. And that’s despite seeing season-high playing time the last two weeks.
Dak Prescott’s struggles have be one of the reasons for Cooper’s drop in production, but you also have to consider that the Cowboys don’t need to throw for 300+ yards to win right now as they lean on their elite defense.
Micah Parson is playing like the Defensive Rookie of the Year — more like the Defensive Player of the Year — and Dallas has had Randy Gregory and Demarcus Lawrence both back in action the last two times out. Meanwhile, the Football Team could be without two offensive lineman and will have an injured Antonio Gibson at best. Washington is going to have a tough time moving the ball and is very unlikely to force the Cowboys into a pass-heavy game script.
Dallas should have no problem leaning on their run game and defense to win here. Prescott has plenty of weapons aside from Cooper in CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz, preventing Cooper from having many big-time games this year. That said, Cooper still has the upside to go off for 120+ yards, but I’m projecting him right around 45.5 here.
Pick: Under 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at FanDuel
