Our Director of Predictive Analytics reveals his favorite NFL player props for Sunday afternoon below, featuring Tom Brady and Cooper Kupp overs. He has a 522-415-9 (55%) all-time record on NFL bets he's tracked in the Action app, where you can follow all of his picks.
Note that these lines move fast and could be stale by the time you’re reading this story, which is why we’ve included his projection for each, so you can assess the risk accordingly.
NFL Player Props
Titans RB D'Onta Foreman Over 67.5 Rush Yards
I expect the Titans to lean on Foreman as 10-point favorites against the Texans on Sunday.
- Projection: 74.5
- Best book:FanDuel
Jaguars WR Marvin Jones Over 3.5 Rec
Jones needs only four receptions to cash $500,000 in incentives. The Jaguars have nothing to play for, so you better believe Trevor Lawrence will try to get Jones to four receptions.
- Projection: 4.2
- Best book: BetMGM
Jaguars WR Laquon Treadwell Under 45.5 Rec Yards
Treadwell has hit this over in six straight games, but with Jones needing only four receptions for his incentives, Lawrence could force Jones the ball at Treadwell's expense.
- Bet to: 37.5
- Best book: BetMGM
Rams WR Cooper Kupp Over 116.5 Rec Yards
Kupp needs 136 receiving yards to break Calvin Johnson's single-season record. Kupp's prop is usually in this range, and the 49ers are a pass funnel defense. If he gets close to this, I would imagine the Rams will try to get him the record.
- Projection: 128.0
- Best book:DraftKings
Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf Over 55.5 Rec Yards
Metcalf needs 91 receiving yards to reach 1,000 for the season. This should be a pass-heavy game script with the Seahawks listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the 49ers in what could be Russell Wilson's last game with Seattle.
- Projection: 63.5
- Best book: DraftKings
Bucs QB Tom Brady Over 284.5 Pass Yards
The Bucs could pass a ton this Sunday.
Bucs running back Ronald Jones is out while Panthers corner Stephon Gilmore is likely to miss.
Brady will want to establish chemistry with Cyril Grayson and Tyler Johnson with Chris Godwin out for the postseason and Antonio Brown no longer with the team. Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski are also shooting for incentives and milestones.
- Projection: 46.5
- Best book:DraftKings
What Are NFL Player Prop Bets?
Bets on a player's statistics or various outcomes can be considered a player prop. Betting on the over or under on a quarterback's passing yards, over or under on a wide receiver's number of receptions, and whether a running back will score a touchdown are all considered player props.
To learn more about the various types of props you can bet on, check out our Betting 101 series.
