Last year using my overtime model we hit three of 29 overtime bets, all at 15-1 odds or longer for a 159% ROI — and that doesn't even include a 263-1 overtime parlay we hit in Week 2.
We're running it back each week of the 2024 NFL season with my favorite overtime bets, parlays, and round robins from my OT model. Every individual bet will be for a quarter-unit at FanDuel, while I'll sprinkle on some parlays and round robins from these picks.
This week, I have three picks, including Friday night's game in Brazil, one on Sunday and one on Monday. I'll be sprinkling a round robin of each two-leg combination, which as of this writing gives us odds of 239-1, 272-1 and 283-1, respectively.
Keep in mind that these are longshots for a reason so please bet responsibly. Here are my three overtime picks for NFL Week 1.
NFL Week 1 Predictions for Games to Go to Overtime
Eagles vs. Packers Prediction: NFL Week 1 Prop Pick
The first is between the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers at +1480 on Friday night in Brazil.
We have two dynamic offenses that should be able to move the ball when trailing late, while neither of the head coaches in Matt LaFleur and Nick Sirianni have gone for two-point conversions at particularly high rates.
Bears vs Titans Prediction: NFL Prop Bet for Week 1
The next overtime bet is our only Sunday game, a 1 p.m. ET kickoff between the Chicago Bears and TennesseeTitans at +1420.
In this game, we have a reliable combination of kickers who should keep this game on key numbers like three and seven points.
Monday Night Football Prediction: 49ers vs. Jets Prop Pick for Overtime
Finally, I'm taking Monday Night's primetime game between the New YorkJets and the San Francisco 49ers at +1700.
This 4.5-point spread is just too close, meaning the 17-1 odds are too long for two teams that should be able to move the ball despite stingy defenses.
