What's primetime football without a little same-game parlay sweat?
Action Network NFL experts Sean Koerner, Nick Giffen, and Gilles Gallant cooked up a juicy NFL parlay for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions.
Be sure to subscribe to the Action Network YouTube channel, where our experts give out their picks on Action Island each week. If you missed this week's show, you can read about their picks below.
Packers vs. Lions Parlay Tonight
- Jameson Williams Anytime Touchdown
- Christian Watson 80+ Receiving Yards
- Second Half Under 26.5
Parlay Odds: +4500 (bet365)
Jameson Williams Anytime Touchdown
Gilles Gallant: Jameson Williams has four touchdowns this season, and I think tonight is a great night for him to record his fifth.
We saw Williams get two red zone targets in Week 13, and while he didn't cash in, it shows that Jared Goff is looking his way.
Williams also excels against cover-2 defenses, and the Packers play cover-2 at a top-10 rate in the league.
Christian Watson 80+ Receiving Yards
Sean Koerner: This is an eruption spot for Christian Watson.
The Lions use man coverage at the highest rate in the league. Watson is the only full-time player in the league who has seen his yards per route run actually go up against man coverage, and his target rate has gone up by a ridiculous 16% against man coverage. Both of those figures rank 17th among 110 qualified wide receivers.
Romeo Doubs is set to miss his second straight game for the Packers with a concussion, and that will give Watson a big boost in playing time. Last week without Doubs, Watson had a season-high 96% routes run rate.
Watson should be out there for nearly every Jordan love drop-back in what should be a pass-heavy game script for the Packers.
He's the type of player who I would rather not take the over on his median, since he has a high aDOT and a wide range of outcomes.
Therefore, taking him at 80+ receiving yards at +300 is sort of a sweet spot and where I'm taking him here.
Second Half Under 26.5
Nick Giffen: The first- and second-half splits favor a second half under between these two teams.
The Packers and Lions combine to score 7.1 fewer points in the second half (32.5 vs. 25.4) and allow a combined 3.4 fewer points in the second half as well (20.2 vs. 16.8).
The most likely scenario is Detroit leading, and the Lions go to about 31 seconds per play with a second half lead, which is the slowest pace in either half by either team in any game script.
