A +1000 pick for Sunday Night Football and a forgotten-about tight end take the cake as PRO's top touchdown picks for Sunday of Week 10.
In fact, touchdown picks are already off to a hot start using Action data.
Our expert PRO Projections were spot on yet again, nailing Tanner Hudson (+1000) to score a touchdown on Thursday. If you've followed along the last four weeks, hopefully, you've pocketed some of the 30-plus units we've recorded.
Moving along to Sunday's best TD predictions and our weekly, packaged anytime touchdown picks, PRO's data-driven betting models reveal value on plenty of picks. We're covering the five best touchdown picks here.
With a big winner already in tow, it makes for an exciting preview for Sunday, with data-fueled NFL predictions running all day. Let's get into it!
NFL Touchdown Picks: Expert TD Predictions Sunday Week 10
As always, here's how we arrive at PRO TD picks every Sunday: Action NFL experts plug in their player performance predictions to our NFL props page, and then those projections are compared to touchdown odds around the market.
After grading all the biggest mismatches on a grading scale, we grab the picks that meet the cut-off for a bet, then package 'em together here for subscribers to feast.
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 1 for Sunday
In the early, 9:30 a.m. ET kick, projections alerted a big edge for Giants vs. Panthers touchdown scorers.
After correctly predicting Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard to score twice last week, let's see if expert models can bag another big one.
At +850, Carolina quarterback Bryce Young is a bet.
PRO Projections forecast Young for a TD 16% of the time, which is 4.5% higher than the best odds (+850 at BetMGM) would imply.
PRO Projections Pick: Bryce Young Touchdown (+850)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 2 for Sunday
The biggest overall edge for Week 10 also features capitalizing on a shop hanging a bad number.
A near-7% edge lurks for Sunday Night Football between the Lions vs. Texans. The best pick to score a touchdown from Action PRO models is Texans wide receiver John Metchie III.
Grabbing +1000 odds at FanDuel's odds is key to the recipe. A 10-1 payout implies about about a 9% probability. PRO Projections, meanwhile, expect Metchie, a third-year wide receiver out of Alabama, to score about 16% of the time.
A +700 (12.5%) price on Metchie anytime is needed to qualify at the time of projections.
Houston's banged up in the receiving corps, the total's high, and the Texans are an underdog indoors. PRO data suggests the environment may be ripe for a player like Metchie, who's flying under the radar at this number.
PRO Projections Pick: John Metchie III Touchdown (+1000)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 3 for Sunday
The theme for Patriots vs. Bears is the rookie quarterbacks for both sides, but our spotlight is on Bears running back D'Andre Swift's touchdown