If you want to add an extra edge to your card this Sunday, check out PrizePicks. The app allows you to parlay NFL player props for real money in 30 states, including some states where online betting access remains unavailable.
Here are the two PrizePicks props I’d consider playing this weekend.
Dameon Pierce
Over/Under 77.5 Rush Yards
If you haven’t heard of Dameon Pierce, you will soon. The rookie is making his mark on fantasy league managers and prop bettors, while also becoming a staple in the Houston offense.
Pierce leads all rookies in scrimmage (778) and rush yards (678) this season, and he’s just starting to heat up. Pierce has cashed over 77.5 rush yards in five of his past six games, rushing for 100-plus yards three times.
Houston is not known for having the best offensive line, but that doesn’t matter with Pierce. The rookie is third among all running backs in yards after contact (561) and has the most broken tackles over the past six weeks.
Check out what he did to the Eagles:
This rookie 🔥 Count the broken tackles. @IRep229#PHIvsHOU on Prime Video
Also available on NFL+ https://t.co/eUDwChPddFpic.twitter.com/VpTPxVfbqS— NFL (@NFL) November 4, 2022
Pierce is averaging 4.6 YPC this season and becoming the most efficient part of Houston’s offense. As a result, the Texans are feeding him. He’s managed 20.2 touches per game over the past six games, including a whopping 27 carries last week.
This week should be no different. The Giants are 24th in Rush Defense DVOA and 23rd in rush yards allowed this year. Only the Chargers allow more YPC than the Giants.
Pierce will get massive volume against a lousy rush defense and he will break 15 tackles along the way. This matchup is likely why our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Pierce for a whopping 93 rush yards on Sunday.
Over 77.5 rush yards for Pierce is the biggest PrizePicks steal of Week 10.
Pick: Over 77.5 Rush Yards
Amari Cooper
Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
Amari Cooper is so good. Despite getting pushed out of Dallas by younger receivers, he’s proven he can still produce No. 1 wideout numbers.
Cooper has three 100-yard games this season and is on pace for a 1,000-yard season. What’s even more impressive is that he’s doing it all with Jacoby Brissett throwing him passes.
#Browns Amari Cooper
T-2nd in the league with 5 TDs in the redzone
8th in the league in 1st downs with 29
T-10 in the league in yards- 553
Repeat after me: Amari Cooper is a WR1
— Mac🦬 (@tha_buffalo) November 2, 2022
Moreover, Cooper is working with monster volume. He’s received double-digit targets in four of his past six games and managed five receptions on seven targets against Cincinnati last week. Cooper has been on the field for at least 75% of possible offensive snaps in every game he’s played this season.
Amari Cooper is a WR1.
Cooper also has a solid matchup. Miami’s defense is weak, ranking 27th overall in DVOA. However, it’s even worse against the pass, ranking 31st in Pass Defense DVOA, 29th in completion rate allowed and 23rd in pass yards per game allowed.
While Xavien Howard can still produce at a relatively high level, history favors Cooper in this matchup.
The last time Amari Cooper and Xavien Howard faced offpic.twitter.com/9Kl6eLKQEf
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 9, 2022
You can look toward Cooper’s yardage or receptions here, but I prefer the latter. He’s cashed over 4.5 receptions in four of his past six games. Moreover, he fell short by the hook in one other game.
Our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Cooper for 5.7 receptions, giving us a larger edge on over 4.5 receptions than over 61.5 receiving yards.
Either way, Cooper is a buy for me this week.
Pick: Over 4.5 Receptions
