Whether it's due to potential scheduling changes (or cancellations) or other reasons, Week 5 isn't popping with as many valuable betting opportunities as we found through the first four weeks.
But that doesn't necessarily mean there aren't solid edges to find, it just means that it's important to stay disciplined and not bet additional games for "action."
In fact, betting too many games is one of the most common mistakes made by recreational bettors.
Using our NFL PRO Report, let's detail Sunday's top edges, including Raiders vs. Chiefs (1 p.m. ET, CBS) and two picks for Colts vs. Browns (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS).
Data as of Saturday at 8 a.m. ET. For immediate access to our NFL PRO Report, start a Free Trial today! You'll also get:
- Pro Betting Systems: historically profitable betting trends and angles built on millions of data points.
- Line Move Predictions: know when a line will move — before it happens.
- Custom Fantasy Football Rankings from Sean Koerner (Top FantasyPros ranker)
NFL Week 5 Picks, Betting Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
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Sharp Action
After Las Vegas opened at +13, pros immediately came in on the double-digit underdog, steaming the Raiders down to the current market consensus of +11.5.
Big Money
The Raiders are the slightly less popular play in this game, evidenced by the 47% of bets taking Las Vegas, but our NFL public betting data shows that the splits are even more drastic — and on opposite sides — in terms of real money wagered.
Seventy-seven percent of the loot is on the Raiders, leaving no doubts as to which side of this matchup is attracting the biggest bets (and bettors).
PRO Systems
Las Vegas is also a match for our Fade Covering Teams PRO System, which finds value by fading teams overvalued due to recent overperformance, like the Chiefs.
This system is 315-246-17 (56%) against the spread (ATS) since 2005.
In fact, the Raiders are not the only match for this system among Sunday's games, so be sure to sign up for a FREE PRO trial now for instant access to every NFL Week 5 PRO System match.
PRO Report angle: Raiders (+11.5)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland Browns
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Sharp Action
Sports Insights' Bet Signals have triggered four separate smart money indicators on the Browns, providing context as to why this spread has dropped from Cleveland +2.5 to +1, and even to a pick'em at a handful of sportsbooks across the market.
Big Money
The bets-vs.-money discrepancy for Colts vs. Browns is very similar to that of Raiders vs. Chiefs, as Cleveland is attracting 88% of spread dollars on just 55% of the tickets.
Top Experts
Two of The Action Network's NFL betting experts are playing the Browns as well, awarding Cleveland three of the PRO Report's five possible edges.
PRO Report angle: Browns (+1)
More sharp action, projection edges and expert picks are popping on Week 5's NFL slate. To access all the games on our PRO Report, start a FREE trial of PRO now.
