NFL Week 7 Luck Rankings Picks: 3 Games Fit Thresholds

Our NFL Luck Rankings can be used to bet on unlucky teams that meet one of three criteria:

1. A difference of at least 24 places in our weekly NFL Luck Rankings (Luck Difference).
2. A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 50% between two opposing teams at any point in the season.
3. A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 30% between two opposing teams in Week 13 or later.

Unlucky teams meeting at least one of these three criteria 122-70-6 (63%) against the spread (ATS) in regular-season games other than the last week of the season when using closing lines, which are the hardest to beat.

In Week 6, the lone Luck Matchup lost as the Patriots failed to cover the closing 6.5-point spread against the Texans. That moves the unlucky team in luck-based matchups to a 9-9-1 (50%) record ATS on the season.

The three Luck Totals in Week 6 were all Luck Unders and went 1-2 to the under. That moves Luck Unders to 4-3-0 on the season, while Luck Overs are still 3-0-0. for a 7-3-0 (70%) record this season.

As a reminder here are the criteria for Luck Totals:

1. A Luck Total above +10 after Week 3.
2. A Luck Total above +5 after Week 11.
3. A Luck Total below -5 after Week 2.

Sides and totals meeting any Luck Ranking criteria are 16-11-1 (59%) on the season.

This week there are no Luck Matchups, but we do have three Luck Totals.

NFL Luck Rankings Week 7 Games

Lions vs. Vikings

Sunday, Oct 20

1 p.m. ET

FOX