NFL Week 9 Luck Rankings Picks: 3 Games Fit Thresholds

Our NFL Luck Rankings can be used to bet on unlucky teams that meet one of three criteria:

1. A difference of at least 24 places in our weekly NFL Luck Rankings (Luck Difference).
2. A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 50% between two opposing teams at any point in the season.
3. A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 30% between two opposing teams in Week 13 or later.

Unlucky teams meeting at least one of these three criteria are 124-71-6 (63.2%) against the spread (ATS) in regular-season games other than the last week of the season when using closing lines, which are the hardest to beat.

In Week 8, there were three Luck Matchups with the unlucky team going 2-1 ATS. That moves the unlucky team in luck-based matchups to a 11-10-1 (52.3%) record ATS on the season.

The three Luck Totals in Week 8 were all Luck Unders that went 1-2 to the under. That moves Luck Unders to 6-6-0 on the season, while Luck Overs remain a perfect 4-0-0. Combined, Luck Totals have a 10-6-0 (62.5%) record this season.

As a reminder here are the criteria for Luck Totals:

1. A Luck Total above +10 after Week 3.
2. A Luck Total above +5 after Week 11.
3. A Luck Total below -5 after Week 2.

Sides and totals meeting any Luck Ranking criteria are 21-16-1 (56.6%) on the season.

This week there are two Luck Matchups and one Luck Total. Let's take a look.

NFL Luck Rankings Week 9 Games

Texans vs. Jets

Thursday, Oct. 31

8:15 p.m. ET

Prime Video

Luck Difference: 28
Luck Gap: 39.0%