Packers vs. Lions Most Valuable Thanksgiving Prop Bets: Jordan Love, Aidan Hutchinson, AJ Dillon

Packers vs. Lions Most Valuable Thanksgiving Prop Bets: Jordan Love, Aidan Hutchinson, AJ Dillon article feature image
Credit:

Patrick McDermott/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Love #10 of the Green Bay Packers.

Packers vs. Lions Odds, Most Valuable Thanksgiving Bets

Packers Logo
Thursday, Nov. 23
12:30 p.m. ET
FOX
Lions Logo
Packers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-110
46.5
-120o / +100u
+390
Lions Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
-110
46.5
-120o / +100u
-360
Odds via ESPN BET. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
ESPN BET Logo

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for Packers vs. Lions on Thanksgiving Day football.

The betting models have been lights out this season, netting a roughly 10% ROI from a predictive analytics team that has created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings, among others.

We also have the public's favorite picks for this island game matchup.

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Packers vs. Lions Most Valuable Prop Bets

  1. Aidan Hutchinson to have over 0.25 sacks (-150)
  2. AJ Dillon to have more than 12.5 receiving yards (-112)
  3. Jordan Love to have one or more interception (-178)
Header First Logo

Packers vs. Lions

Where's The Value?

Hutchinson is projected to have a sack 63% of the time, according to my colleague and director of analytics Sean Koerner. That means anything above a fair value line of roughly -170 is good value, according to our algorithms.

The algorithms strata out thousands of permutations of this game to come up with an average number for each player stat line on the day.

Dillon, meanwhile, is projected to put up closer to 19 receiving yards on the night.

And lastly, Love is projected to put up a pick 68% of the time, giving anything above -212 odds good value on this line. As of Thanksgiving Day, that line has a market-best price of -178 at FanDuel.

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