Thursday Night Football Week 14 is here, as the Green Bay Packers (9-3) take on the Detroit Lions (11-1). Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
Let's get to my Packers vs. Lions props and my NFL picks for Thursday Night Football.
Sam Farley's Lions vs Packers Player Props
- Jahmyr Gibbs Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-113, FanDuel)
- Tucker Kraft Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel)
- Amon-Ra St Brown Anytime Touchdown (+105, bet365)
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
You’ve got to be quick with this one: Jahmyr Gibbs’ rushing yard line for Thursday Night Football is already increasing with some sportsbooks. For now, take the 65.5 but up to three yards more would still be acceptable.
Through 12 games this season, Gibbs is averaging an impressive 81 rushing yards per game and has only gone under 64.5 twice back in Weeks 1 and 6. He has 90 and 87 yards over the Lions' last two games, and he got to 87 last week on nine carries with David Montgomery getting 12 more than him.
The Lions find ways to scheme Gibbs into favorable situations in which he can use his agility and pace to be a game-breaker. It’s something that’s been working all season and should again here.
Tucker Kraft Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Tucker Kraft tied his season high of six receptions and turned that into 78 yards last week against the Dolphins. He's averaging 40 yards per game this season, which is obviously more than this total, but we have to take the under here.
The Lions secondary is improving rapidly and hasn't got the flowers it deserves yet. Detroit has been exceptional against opposing tight ends, giving up the fewest yards in the NFL to the position by a considerable margin this season at just 31.3 yards per game. Tight ends have also only scored one touchdown this season against the Lions.
With the likes of Jayden Reed and Christian Watson on the field, there won't be a need to force the ball to Kraft.
Amon-Ra St Brown Anytime Touchdown (+105)
Amon-Ra St. Brown has gone two weeks without finding the end zone, so you could potentially forget just how consistently he’s been scoring this season.
St. Brown scored in eight straight games before Week 12 and is still the player Jared Goff looks for when it really matters. He leads the Lions with 16 red-zone targets and is fifth in the NFL among all wide receivers. He has caught 14 of those targets. Those 16 targets are double Jameson Williams and four more than tight end Sam LaPorta.
St. Brown is due to get back to scoring ways and add to his nine touchdowns on the season. What better game than against the Packers, against whom he caught all seven targets for 56 yards and a touchdown earlier this season.
