Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what're your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight's Patriots-Jets matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 22 points from Julian Edelman? He has an 8.9% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I'll touch on:
- Patriots: Tom Brady, Sony Michel, James White, Julian Edelman, Phillip Dorsett, Jakobi Meyers
- Jets: Sam Darnold, Le'Veon Bell, Robby Anderson, Jamison Crowder
Now let's dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)
Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
Sam Darnold, QB, Jets
Sony Michel, RB, Patriots
James White, RB, Patriots
Le'Veon Bell, RB, Jets
Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots
Phillip Dorsett, WR, Patriots
Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots
Robby Anderson, WR, Jets
Jamison Crowder, WR, Jets
About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons
Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.
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