The New England Patriots will visit the Washington Commanders in Landover, Maryland on Sunday night in the 2024 NFL preseason finale. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on NBC. Sunday's matchup at Commanders Field wraps up both New England's and Washington's respective preseason campaigns, in addition to the entire league, with this game officially closing the curtain on the NFL preseason.
Let's preview the game and my Patriots vs. Commanders predictions, featuring my NFL picks and predictions on a total in this preseason finale.
Patriots vs Commanders Prediction
- Under 36.5 | Bet to 33.5
My Patriots-Commanders pick is on the under, which was originally pegged at 33.5, but is now available at 36.5 at DraftKings according to our live NFL odds page.
Patriots vs Commanders Odds
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 36.5 -105o / -115u | -320 |
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 36.5 -105o / -115u | +260 |
- Pats vs Commanders point spread: Patriots -7 | Commanders +7
- Pats vs Commanders total: Over/under 36.5
- Pats vs Commanders moneyline: Patriots -320 | Commanders +260
The spread moved drastically from the opening number of Commanders -2.5 after it was announced that Jayden Daniels is done for the preseason. Now, New England is favored by 7 points, and the total has slowly climbed from 33.5 all the way up to 36.5.
Pats vs Commanders Preview
As always with preseason, it comes down to starters and how much we're going to see from the first-string units, and most importantly the quarterbacks.
We've had some clarity on that heading into this game, with news that Jayden Daniels has been confirmed as the Week 1 starter for the Commanders. Dan Quinn has also revealed that we won't see Daniels at all on Sunday, which sadly deprives us of a chance to see the second and third round picks of this year's NFL Draft meet in the preseason.
The absence of Daniels means we're going to see Marcus Mariota, Jeff Driskel and Sam Hartman share reps, and potentially Trace McSorley. Washington's QB room is somewhat experienced, but they have combined for exactly zero passing touchdowns in the preseason so far.
Unlike the Commanders, we haven't yet heard who'll be starting under center in Week 1 for New England, but reading between the lines with the coach speak and Jacoby Brissett taking first team reps in practice, you have to believe that he is going to be the starter, at least in the short-term until Drake Maye can overtake him.
It looks like we could see all four QBs on the Pats' roster play this Sunday with Brissett potentially seeing some time, as well as Maye, Joe Milton III and Bailey Zappe. There's plenty to play for though, Zappe is currently fourth on the depth chart and will want do everything possible to grab that third spot. Meanwhile, Maye understands a strong performance could speed up the process of supplanting Brissett as QB1 for the Patriots.
Patriots vs Commanders Game Info: How to Watch Live, Start Time
| Location: | Commanders Field, Landover, MD |
| Date: | Sunday, August 25, 2024 |
| Time: | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV Channel/Live Streaming: | NBC |
Patriots vs Commanders will be broadcasted live on NBC, as well as local television coverage. Patriots-Commanders is scheduled to kick off at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday night at Commanders Field in Landover, MD.
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My Patriots vs Commanders Pick
We've seen the Patriots score a combined 30 points across both preseason games, while the Commanders have scored only 23; and they scored just six points against the Dolphins last time out. Those recent performances don't breed confidence in this game going over the number at a total of 33.5
Add in the fact that we're likely to see a lot of quarterbacks coming in-and-out of the game, and it's going to lead to a game with plenty of starting and stopping, and one which is unlikely to generate coherent offensive play.
Grab the under one last time before the regular season starts.
Pats vs Commanders Prediction: Under 33.5 (-110)
Patriots vs Commanders Betting Trends
- 61% of bets and 61% of the money are on the Patriots to cover the spread.
- 55% of bets and 40% of the money are on the under.
All data via Action Network's public betting percentages.
Patriots vs Commanders Weather
