Patriots vs Steelers Player Props
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's top Patriots vs Steelers player props for Thursday Night Football. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific TNF prop bet.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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| 8:15 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Patriots vs. Steelers
Bailey Zappe
Under 161.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Mitch Trubisky vs. Bailey Zappe doesn’t scream primetime, but at least the Steelers quarterback is one of the league’s better backups, even if he is uninspiring. On the other hand, Zappe hasn’t shown anything to suggest he can be a capable NFL signal-caller.
Last week, Zappe managed just 141 passing yards against the Chargers in a horrific 6-0 loss. The Chargers entered Week 13 with the most passing yards allowed of any team in the league.
Now Zappe gets to face a Steelers pass defense that might not be elite but is far more capable than the Chargers.
Judging from what I saw last week, I simply can’t see Zappe — facing a defense that has given up the third-fewest passing yards over the last three weeks — surpassing 161.5 yards on Thursday night.
Pick: Bailey Zappe Under 161.5 Passing Yards (-110)
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Patriots vs. Steelers
Jaylen Warren
Over 60.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
The Patriots are stout against the run; they've surrendered the third-fewest rushing yards to opponents this season (88.7 YPG and a league-best 52.3 YPG over their last three games), but we’ve seen the Steelers lean into their ground game since the firing of Matt Canada. With Trubisky under center, they’ll almost assuredly do it again on Thursday night.
Warren has hit this combined scrimmage yards number in four of his last five games, and six times overall this season. He has a great chance of doing it again considering he's the Steelers' most dynamic running back and the fact that Najee Harris might not be 100% due to a knee injury.
Pick: Jaylen Warren Over 60.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
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Patriots vs. Steelers
Allen Robinson
Over 1.5 Receptions (+105)
I feel dirty getting involved with Robinson props, but +106 on the veteran wideout feels too good to be true when he’s had seven receptions on eight targets in the last three weeks.
It seemed like he was being phased out after Pittsburgh's Week 6 bye, but his usage has increased and we have to take plus money when he’s hit over 1.5 receptions in two of his last three games.
Pick: Allen Robinson Over 1.5 Receptions (+105)
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