My same-game parlay for Monday night will be primarily centered on the principles I laid out in my preview that you can read here. With both teams dealing with cluster injuries, I like our chances for plenty of points in this game.
Consequently, I've strung together six plays that align with how I project this game to play out. Feel free to pick and choose which plays you fancy the most, and if you're feeling even braver, play them all together for a +2200 payout.
Should you bet same-game parlays? We outline all the factors you should consider when betting same-game parlays here.
Rams-Cardinals Same-Game Parlay
Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-191)
Although there's a decent amount of juice on this player prop, the underlying numbers suggest that it's warranted. In 17 games this season, Stafford has recorded fewer than two touchdown passes on only four occasions. If we do a bit of math, that's a 76% conversion rate. However, with odds at -191, the implied probability is 65.64%, giving us roughly 10% of added value.
Kyler Murray Over 23.5 Completions (+105)
Murray has increased his completion percentage every year since his rookie campaign. He completed 69.2% of his passes this season, and he's completed at least 26 passes in his past three games. In both games against the Rams, he completed at least 24 passes. And with the Cardinals banged up at the running back position, there's a good chance Murray will be relied upon heavily in the passing game.
Over 43.5 (-250)
Since I'm already involved on the over, I don't mind buying this down a bit since it's tied into a six-leg parlay. With seven of the Rams' last eight games having a total of at least 44 points, I think this is a no-brainer to include as one of our legs.
Cam Akers Under 30.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Akers saw his first action of the season in Week 18 as he carried the ball five times for just three yards. Los Angeles ranks 24th with a run play rate of 39.70%. I don't see the Rams going into this game to prioritize running the football, nor do I project Akers taking valuable carries away from Sony Michel.
Zach Ertz Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-131)
Ertz was targeted 10 times in Week 18, resulting in 84 receiving yards. When he's logged at least 60 receiving yards this season, his numbers tend to decline the following week. That trend has held up in each of the four games that fit this criteria.
Tyler Higbee Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
I'm going to ride the trend here with Higbee as he's been targeted at least six times in each of his past four games. During that stretch, he's also logged at least 41 receiving yards. With Robert Woods done for the year and Odell Beckham Jr.'s production waning, Higbee has become an even more significant factor in the Rams offense.
