Editor’s Note: This story was updated with Sean Koerner’s final rankings on Saturday evening.
To help you make your NFL pick'em picks this week, I've ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options by confidence below for Week 11.
These rankings are based on my power ratings, which help power our NFL PRO Projections — they account for various factors such as injuries and travel.
You can also follow me in the Action app for notifications about any picks I track there.
NFL Pick'Em Picks: Week 11
| Conf | Team | Opp | Win Prob% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Browns | vs. DET | 87% |
| 2 | Buccaneers | vs. NYG | 83% |
| 3 | Titans | vs. HOU | 82% |
| 4 | Bills | vs. IND | 75% |
| 5 | 49ers | @ JAX | 71% |
| 5 | Patriots | @ ATL | 71% |
| 7 | Ravens | @ CHI | 69% |
| 7 | Chargers | vs. PIT | 69% |
| 9 | Dolphins | @ NYJ | 61% |
| 10 | Eagles | vs. NO | 58% |
| 11 | Panthers | vs. WAS | 57% |
| 12 | Chiefs | vs. DAL | 54% |
| 13 | Vikings | vs. GB | 54% |
| 14 | Bengals | @ LV | 52% |
| 15 | Cardinals | @ SEA | 50% |
| 15 | Seahawks | vs. ARI | 50% |
| 17 | Raiders | vs. CIN | 48% |
| 18 | Packers | @ MIN | 46% |
| 19 | Cowboys | @ KC | 46% |
| 20 | Football Team | @ CAR | 43% |
| 21 | Saints | @ PHI | 42% |
| 22 | Jets | vs. MIA | 39% |
| 23 | Steelers | @ LAC | 31% |
| 23 | Bears | vs. BAL | 31% |
| 25 | Falcons | vs. NE | 29% |
| 25 | Jaguars | vs. SF | 29% |
| 27 | Colts | @ BUF | 25% |
| 28 | Texans | @ TEN | 18% |
| 29 | Giants | @ TB | 17% |
| 30 | Lions | @ CLE | 13% |
NFL ATS Picks: Week 11
I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.
Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.
