Ranking NFL Pick’Em Picks For Straight Up and ATS Pools: Win Probabilities For Bills, Cowboys, Rams, More

Ranking NFL Pick’Em Picks For Straight Up and ATS Pools: Win Probabilities For Bills, Cowboys, Rams, More article feature image
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Hannah Foslien/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen

  • Locking in your NFL pick'em picks for Week 9? Our Director of Predictive of Analytics is here to help.
  • By projecting win probabilities and spreads for each game, he ranks straight-up and ATS picks for Week 9.
  • Find out how he's projecting the Bills, Cowboys, Rams and the rest of the league below.

Editor’s Note: The following data has been updated as of Saturday to reflect Sean Koerner’s latest projections.


To help you make your NFL pick'em picks this week, I've ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options by confidence below.

These rankings are based on my power ratings, which help power our NFL PRO Projections — they account for various factors such as injuries and travel.

You can also follow me in the Action app for notifications about any picks I track there.


JUMP TO:SU | ATS


NFL Pick'Em Picks: Week 9

ConfTeamOppWin Prob%
1Bills@ JAX88%
2Coltsvs. NYJ80%
4Cowboysvs. DEN78%
3Ramsvs. TEN75%
5Steelersvs. CHI72%
9Saintsvs. ATL71%
6Chiefsvs. GB71%
8Ravensvs. MIN69%
14Dolphinsvs. HOU65%
10Patriots@ CAR61%
11Raiders@ NYG60%
12Bengalsvs. CLE58%
1649ersvs. ARI57%
6Chargers@ PHI56%
13Eaglesvs. LAC44%
17Cardinals@ SF43%
22Browns@ CIN42%
18Giantsvs. LV40%
19Panthersvs. NE39%
15Texans@ MIA35%
22Vikings@ BAL31%
21Packers@ KC29%
24Falcons@ NO29%
20Bears@ PIT28%
26Titans@ LAR25%
25Broncos@ DAL22%
27Jets@ IND20%
28Jaguarsvs. BUF12%


NFL ATS Picks: Week 9

I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.

About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons

Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.

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