The Baltimore Ravens and Tampa Bay Buccaneers kick off Week 7's two games on Monday Night Football with a matchup of division leaders. The game will start at 8:15 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium and will be broadcast live on ESPN.
We have Buccaneers vs. Ravens picks on the spread and over/under, as well as a player prop on the Baltimore side.
Baltimore started the season 0-2, but any potential rumor of its demise has proven to be false. The Ravens have won four straight with Lamar Jackson continuing to play like an MVP and Derrick Henry playing like a stud in the backfield.
Tampa Bay has built off its success last season and is also 4-2, sitting atop the NFC South. Baker Mayfield hasn't missed a beat from last season and is thriving with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The Buccaneers also now have a three-headed backfield in Rachaad White, Bucky Irving and Sean Tucker.
Let's get into our NFL picks and predictions for Buccaneers vs. Ravens tonight.
Buccaneers vs. Ravens Predictions, Best Bets
| Game | Time (ET) | Picks |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Buccaneers vs. Ravens Pick Against the Spread
In a rare matchup between two offenses that are averaging more than six yards per play, we get the opportunity to catch points with the better defense at home.
Neither team here has defended the pass well this season, but the Ravens are especially vulnerable through the air. Baltimore is allowing more than eight yards per attempt, which entered Week 7 ranked 28th. That's great news for a Tampa Bay offense that relies on the quick-passing game to move the football.
The Buccaneers defense has been stronger against the run than it has been defending the pass, which should at least make life difficult for Baltimore on third down if it can limit gains on early downs. The Ravens have been gashing teams with explosive runs of 10 or more yards this season, but the Bucs have a good chance to limit the amount of rushes that get to the second level. Tampa Bay is 11th in adjusted line yards per rush against.
Lamar Jackson has some eye-popping trends in his favor against NFC teams, but Baker Mayfield also does when catching points. Mayfield is 10-4 against the spread as an underdog with the Bucs. He has also covered the number at a 57.1% rate over his entire career when his team is an underdog of more than three points. Over the last two seasons with Tampa Bay, he's 6-1 (85.7%) against the spread in that scenario.
Pick: Buccaneers +3.5 (-110)
Ravens-Bucs Over/Under Betting Pick
By Billy Ward
While I typically prefer to go with unders in primetime games, this one is too good to pass up. Both teams are top-10 offenses according to DVOA, while neither defense can claim that ranking.
The Ravens have scored at least 28 points in four straight games with just one of them failing to go over 50. That was against a Bills offense that pup up just 10 points and struggled to get anything going. That's unlikely to be an issue this week for the Bucs, who've scored 114 points over the last three games.
Tampa Bay is also beat up on defense, with top corner Jamel Dean ruled out and run-stopping nose tackle Vita Vea listed as questionable on a laundry list of injuries.
With Mike Evans completely off the injury report, both teams injuries are primarily on the defensive side of the ball. The injuries are another data point for the over, though I’d probably still take it with both teams at full strength.
Pick: Over 50 (-110)
Buccaneers vs. Ravens Player Prop
By Matt Trebby
Justice Hill has gone over this total in four of six games this season. In one of the games he didn’t hit the total, he still had 52 receiving yards.
Hill has a role in this offense. Derrick Henry is obviously the workhorse, but the Ravens’ priority is to get the 30-year-old veteran through the season healthy. Fortunately, they have a capable backup in Hill.
Hill has played more than 50% of snaps three times this season, and he hit this over in two of the games that he played 41% and 35%.
As of Sunday night, Sean Koerner’s projection for Hill is 15 rushing yards, and Chris Raybon’s is 14. I’d play this up to 12.5.
Pick: Justice Hill Over 11.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
