Mike Evans
ATD +175 (bet365)
This number feels like an overreaction to the Buccaneers’ loss to the Panthers. Evans hasn’t had TD odds higher than +120 since the start of last season.
The Ravens secondary has been much better over the last three games, but it has still given up seven touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Also working in Evans’ favor: He has never gone more than two games without a touchdown since Tom Brady came to Tampa Bay. He’s at three right now. I expect that drought to end tonight.
This number is +135 at DraftKings, which is the next-highest number on the board as of Wednesday afternoon. I would still play that since it's higher than what we usually get for Evans.
Devin Duvernay
ATD +280 (DraftKings)
Duvernay has consistently played the most snaps of any Ravens WR this season. He may have a bigger role in this game with Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman missing practice this week.
Duvernay is second on the Ravens in touchdowns, receptions and red-zone targets. He’s also the Ravens’ return man, which gives him more opportunities to find the end zone. He did have a kick-return TD in Week 2.
With how strong Tampa Bay’s run defense is in this game, I’d rather bank on a WR to score than someone in the Baltimore backfield.
Jackson 40+ Rush Yards & Ravens +3.5
Lamar Jackson
To Throw Interception -105 (Caesars)
I know the Buccaneers secondary is missing some key players, but I still like Lamar Jackson to throw an interception.
Tampa Bay has 22 sacks this season, which means it is going to disrupt Jackson often in the pocket. Tampa Bay also has an interception in 10 of its last 13 home games, dating back to the start of last season.
Two trends working for us here: Jackson has thrown an INT in six of his last eight road games, dating back to the start of last season, and QBs playing on the road in primetime have thrown an INT in 15 of the first 22 night games this season.
