Ravens vs Chargers Player Prop: Gerald Everett
Gerald Everett is expected to return to action for the Chargers on Sunday Night Football, but I still expect this to be a fairly murky three-way committee at tight end between him, Donald Parham and Stone Smartt.
Both Parham and Smartt are coming off good games, so we might not see Everett return to a routes run rate of 55%-plus right away. I’m expecting him to be in the 45-55% range on SNF, which sets up nice value on the under against Baltimore.
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The Ravens are stingy against tight ends, allowing just 5.6 Y/A to the position, which is the second-lowest mark in the league Everett has only averaged 8.0 Y/R with an aDot of just 4.0 yards downfield.
I have him as a coin flip to go over 2.5 receptions and if he catches two passes exactly, I have a 75% chance he stays under 24.5 receiving yards. If he catches three passes, it’s still around a 43% chance he stays under.
I have his median closer to 19.5 receiving yards with a 60% chance of staying under 24.5.
