Ravens vs Chiefs Player Props: Patrick Mahomes & Lamar Jackson Bets
In the table below, you'll find my top two Ravens vs Chiefs player props for Sunday's AFC Championship Game, featuring picks and predictions for both star quarterbacks — Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:00 p.m. | |
| 3:00 p.m. | |
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Ravens vs Chiefs Player Props
Lamar Jackson
Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Making picks for this game was quite difficult. The analytical side of my brain knows the Ravens have been much better than K.C. all season, and they showed no signs of slowing down in the Divisional Round as they cruised to a 34-10 win over Houston.
However, the emotional knee-jerky part of my brain also knows that it isn’t wise to bet against the Chiefs in the postseason, especially after they looked really good in back-to-back wins over Miami and Buffalo. So I’m betting on both QBs to do what they do best in this matchup, starting with Lamar Jackson in the rushing department.
Jackson has reached new heights as a passer this season, which has put a little bit of a dent in his overall rushing numbers as he cleared the 60-yard rushing mark in just 5-of-16 regular season outings after averaging over 60 rushing yards per game in four straight campaigns prior to this season.
Make no mistake about it though. He’s still willing to pull it down and run whenever the opportunity presents itself. Jackson recorded 10-plus carries in 7-of-16 regular season outings – and he reminded us of his willingness to run again by rushing 11 times for 100 yards against the Texans..
This line may be 10 yards higher than Jackson's season average, but there’s a good reason for that. It’s all hands on deck against K.C.. I expect to see the Ravens throw the kitchen sink at them from a rushing standpoint.
Patrick Mahomes
Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-115)
Well, here we go again. The Chiefs will play in their sixth straight AFC Championship Game on Sunday. However, this time it will be a little bit different as Kansas City hits the road in the Conference Round for the first time in the Patrick Mahomes era.
Sticking to the theme of trusting these QBs to do what they do best, Mahomes is having the worst campaign of his professional career by a pretty significant margin. He finished the regular season with career-low averages in passing yards per game, touchdown passes per game, yards per attempt, yards per completion, passing success rate and more – along with a career high in interceptions.
But in rather predictable fashion, the Chiefs offense has sprung to life and completely flipped the script in the playoffs, creating an excellent buy-low spot for the two-time MVP. Mahomes managed to throw a pair of TD passes in over half of K.C.’s regular-season matchups (nine), despite posting relatively subpar numbers – and he’s already connected for three TDs in two playoff wins.
I think we’ll see Andy Reid trust Mahomes' arm at the goal line more than usual in this contest after having a TD taken off the board in the Divisional Round due to Mecole Hardman fumbling through the end zone on a short 1st-and-goal rush attempt.
No more messing around in the red zone. Put the ball in the hands of the best player, and let him do his thing.
