After spending most of the 2021-22 NFL season at or near the top of the MVP oddsboard, Tom Brady is a longshot next season to win his fourth of his career.
Of course, Brady is also retired. At least for now.
Sportsbooks are letting bettors take the chance Brady not only returns but does so at a high level for the 2022-23 season.
According to odds posted by Caesars on Tuesday, Brady is +4500 to win the award next year. A $100 bet would profit $4,500.
There will be speculation on Brady's future for most of the offseason, thanks in part to his "never say never" comment on his podcast about playing in the NFL again. NFL Network recently reported the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are "leaving the door open" for a return. The team has not made any official transaction regarding Brady, whether that's releasing him or placing him on the retired list.
“Obviously people have changed their minds before about retirement, so it wouldn’t be the first time if Brady flipped," said Adam Pullen, Caesars Assistant Director of Trading. "We made him 45-1 just to match his age, he’d be turning 45 in August just before next season starts.”
If Brady doesn't take a snap next year, bets will be refunded.
Aaron Rodgers is the co-favorite at +700 with Patrick Mahomes. A Rodgers win would make him just the second player to win three consecutive MVPs, joining former teammate Brett Favre from 1995-97.
Bills quarterback Josh Allen is the only other player in single digits on the oddsboard at +900. He's ahead of a trio of quarterbacks: Joe Burrow (+1200), Justin Herbert (+1400) and Matthew Stafford (+1500).
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry is the top non-quarterback on the board at +1800.