FanDuel in Ontario has released odds on four markets relating to Rihanna's halftime performance for Super Bowl LVII between the Chiefs and Eagles.
Among them are what her first and last songs will be, who might make a guest appearance, and whether the pop star will audibly announce a tour during her performance.
Rihanna Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: First Song
Note that there are four other longshot songs on this list, each with odds of +2800 and higher. Three of them are slow while the fourth Rihanna last played live in 2010. Her last official tour ended in 2016.
- Love The Way You Lie +2800
- Love On The Brain +3300
- Take A Bow +3300
- Who's That Chick +3300
The favorite — Don't Stop The Music — has been steamed down from a high of +350 to its current mark of +150 on account of sharp action.
Run This Town had been tied as the favorite until Don't Stop The Music's steam downward.
All bets will void if none of these songs goes first during her set.
One thing to note: Rihanna started her sets with the song "Stay" (+1100) the majority of shows during her Anti World Tour in 2016.
Rihanna Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Last Song
As with this list, there are an additional four long-shot underdogs that aren't listed in the above chart.
- Who's That Chick +3000
- Only Girl (In The World) +3000
- S&M +3300
- Needed Me +3300
While we can reasonably guess what will or won't be on the overall setlist, first and last song markets are inherently speculative. Use this link to run through Rihanna's past setlists. As aforementioned, her last official tour was in 2016 and the last concert on that list took place in 2017.
Her standard last song for her Anti World Tour in 2016 was FourFiveSeconds, featuring Kanye West and Paul McCartney, but given West's recent foibles, don't expect him to make an appearance on Sunday.
Rihanna Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Guest Appearance?
Curiously, Jay-Z (-225 and the betting favorite) and Rihanna's biggest collaboration was for the 2009 track Run This Town — one of the favorites to go first or last this Sunday — but it also features Kanye West.
While skipping Kanye's verse is more than feasible — Rihanna has done it countless times — he'll still be entitled to exorbitant royalty fees if it plays at the Super Bowl. But do Rihanna and her team care?
Jay-Z and Rihanna only have one other hit song together — Talk That Talk — but that track is unlikely to play on Sunday.
That makes Jay-Z as the betting favorite at -225 a stayaway on my end.
Calvin Harris (-175) and Rihanna collaborated for This Is What You Came For and We Found Love, one of which figures to be on the setlist. At minus money, this is a hard sell, and Rihanna seldom brings DJs out as cameos.
Drake (-150) has worked with Rihanna on several tracks, including What's My Name, Take Care, Too Good and others. While What's My Name is the only one on their discography that's a favorite to be played first or last, there's enough history between the two to see him on stage.
A$AP Rocky (+200, +350 with a baby) and Rihanna have yet to make a hit together, but the couple could make an appearance for memory's sake. The duo had a baby boy in May.
My two best bets are artists that came on as guest features during the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show: Kendrick Lamar (+250) and Eminem (+300).
Rihanna is featured on Kendrick's track LOYALTY., a song they've performed live several times over the past few years. In addition, during her 2016 tour, Rihanna played Love The Way You Live (Part II) during the vast majority of her sets. That song features Eminem.
Rihanna Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Will She Announce a Tour?
Rihanna released her first new music since 2020 with the lead single for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, titled "Lift Me Up." Oddly, that song isn't listed on the first or last song markets. That would be worth a flier should it come up as available.
The pop star's new album doesn't have a specific date set — nor does it have a name. Typically, those are needed in order to announce a tour.
The "no" in this market is unavailable, but bettors in Ontario are able to bet on a "yes" at +250 for an unnamed tour for an unnamed album.
