Saints vs Rams Player Props
For my Saints vs. Rams player props, I have four picks, including two on Kyren Williams. Click on a bet below to navigate this post.
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Saints vs. Rams Player Props
The Rams have won three of four games since Kyren Williams returned from injury in Week 12, with the only loss being a narrow overtime defeat to the Ravens. Los Angeles' offense is clearly on another level with Williams involved, which is something head coach Sean McVay knows as he's been using him as a workhorse.
You can double your money by backing Williams to go over 19.5 rushing attempts. It's a number he’s gone over in all but one game since his return — and that was his first game back in a blowout win over the Cardinals.
Coming off a 27-carry game, it’s hard to see Williams getting less than 20 carries regardless of how the game plays out.
Pick: Kyren Williams Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts
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There are only eight teams who have allowed more rushing yards per game than the Saints. That’s bad news with Williams and his elite usage.
In four games since returning from injury, Williams has rushed for 497 yards, with three 100-plus-yard games — the only game in which he didn’t hit over 88.5, he finished with 88.
Williams is going to get a big workload and he should perform well enough to hit the over.
Pick: Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Are I seriously recommending a Demarcus Robinson props in 2023? Yes, I am.
The former Chief has carved out a nice little role for himself on the Rams. He has 23 targets in the last six games, with 18 coming in his last three.
Robinson's also scored a touchdown in each of the last three games, just one behind Puka Nacua, who's accrued 112 more targets and is a far shorter price (+140) to score.
I can’t help but feel that Robinson is the value Anytime TD play on the Rams.
Pick: Demarcus Robinson Anytime Touchdown (+350)
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Talking about value plays in the Anytime TD market, I can’t stop looking at Foster Moreau at +1400.
First, let's talk about Juwan Johnson. He’s failed to meet preseason expectations and last week’s TD against the Giants was only his second of the year. Johnson has been outscored by Jimmy Graham who, as every TV announcer loves to remind us, has scored four touchdowns on only six receptions.
The Rams are terrible against tight ends and have allowed seven TDs to the position — the second-highest total in the league — but with Johnson and Graham at +600 and +650, respectively, I think that there’s better value to be had.
That brings us back to Moreau. His last TD was back in Week 5, but his usage has increased over the last three weeks — he had a season-high five targets on Sunday.
We know Moreau has chemistry with Derek Carr — as we saw in their Raiders days — and I think he offers the best value price to score.