Week 10 closes in the Big Easy, with the Saints hosting the Ravens.
Baltimore is banged up on offense in a big way, which creates a betting opportunity for us. On the other side, New Orleans is well-equipped to attack a potential Ravens weakness on defense.
Using Sean Koerner's expert projections, available only on Action Labs, here are two player props that are showing value for bettors on Monday Night Football.
Alvin Kamara
Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel)
Kamara has only gone over this total twice in six games this season, but two of his misses saw him gain 61 and 62 yards on the ground.
This is a great matchup for Kamara. The Ravens defense ranks 12th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric against the pass, but it’s just 25th against the run.
New Orleans also isn’t afraid to feed Kamara. He has at least 18 carries in three of his four appearances since missing Week 4 due to injury. He has rushing totals of 103 and 99 in that span, as well as the aforementioned 62.
The one time Kamara comfortably went under this total was in a Thursday night shootout against the Cardinals that saw him get only 11 carries in a game that had 76 points scored.
Kamara is projected for 67 rushing yards by Action Labs.
Kenyan Drake
Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel)
It’s got to be the Kenyan Drake show tonight for the Ravens. J.K. Dobbins is out, and Gus Edwards is listed as doubtful.
Drake is enjoying a very efficient season, with 5.1 yards per carry. He’s gone over this total twice in the last three games, during which he averaged 6.6 yards per carry on only 28 rushing attempts.
That number of carries should be more tonight given the injuries around the Ravens offense. Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman are out, as are Baltimore’s aforementioned running backs.
Drake is the most proven skill-position player on the Ravens who has a strong track record and has done it this season. Expect him getting fed on the ground to be an important part of the offense.
Action Labs loves this Drake total tonight, projecting him for 53 rushing yards compared to his total of 43.5.
