Seahawks at 49ers Odds & Picks
- Odds: 49ers -6
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
Odds as of noon ET on Monday and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Monday Night Football brings us a big NFC West showdown between the 8-0 San Francisco 49ers and 7-2 Seattle Seahawks.
More than 60% of public tickets and money are backing Russell Wilson and Co. as 6-point underdogs, but is that where the best betting value is on this game?
Our staff reveals how they're betting this primetime matchup, featuring picks on the over/under and props.
Travis Reed: Over 47.5
In what should be a very entertaining matchup on Monday Night Football, this over/under instantly caught my eye. The consensus line opened at 44 and the market quickly moved it up earlier in the week.
The Bet Labs model that I use to simulate the season projects this total at 51, making this the largest edge on the board for Week 10. In what the public may see as a matchup between two defensive powerhouses just a few years ago now features two prolific offenses, including an MVP candidate in Russell Wilson.
I took the over at open but would still recommend a bet on the over up to 47.5.
[In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
Matthew Freedman: Ross Dwelley Under 3.0 Receptions (-110)
Last week, Dwelley hit career-highs with a 70% snap rate, four targets, four receptions and 29 yards, and now starter George Kittle (knee) is expected to be out. In place of Kittle, Dwelley is likely to see most of the 49ers' snaps at tight end, but I am highly doubtful that he will have more than three receptions.
He got his production last week against the Cardinals, who have the league's worst defense against tight ends. And with Kittle out, the 49ers will likely reallocate his targets to some of the wide receivers and maybe even running backs, all of whom are more established in the offense. Despite starting in each game over the past month, Dwelley has averaged just 1.8 targets per game.
Even with more playing time, Dwelley will be the least important skill-position player on the field for the 49ers on any given snap.
In the FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have Dwelley projected for 2.5 receptions.
