DK Metcalf
ATD +187 (bet365)
Metcalf has touchdowns in four of his last six games, and he’s second in the NFL with 22 red-zone targets.
We’re getting a decent value here because of the matchup against a tough 49ers defense. San Francisco is first in stopping the run but middle of the pack against the pass, especially on the outside.
The 10 touchdowns that the 49ers have given up to opposing wide receivers are easily the most of any position.
For what it’s worth, Metcalf has scored at least once against the 49ers in every season since he entered the NFL, and he didn’t score in the teams’ first matchup of this year back in Week 2.
If you don’t have access to bet365, FanDuel has the next-best Anytime Touchdown Scorer number on Metcalf at +170.
George Kittle
ATD +220 (FanDuel)
Kittle has been hit or miss this season, but he should be set to have a decent showing against the Seahawks.
Seattle ranks in the bottom five in the NFL in both receiving yards and touchdowns (six) allowed to tight ends this season. Back in Week 2 when these teams first played, Kittle was absent due to injury but backup TE Ross Dwelley found the end zone.
Kittle has four touchdowns this season, and his usage should go up without Deebo Samuel. It’s a small sample size, but Kittle has scored three touchdowns between the last two games that Samuel has missed.
One of those two games was this matchup last season in Seattle, when Kittle dominated to the tune of nine catches, 180 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Pick: George Kittle ATD +220 |
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Brock Purdy
ATD +600 (FanDuel)
I’m taking a swing on Purdy if he’s active. The rookie scored last week against a much better defense (Buccaneers) than the one he’ll face this week.
The Seahawks defense has been all-around bad. It has allowed 18 rushing touchdowns this season, which are the third most in the NFL. Seattle also ranks in the bottom 10 in rush attempts and yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks.
I thought about Kyle Juszcyk in this spot since he scored back in Week 2, but he has the same odds as Purdy. That’s not enough value, since the fullback was +850 to find the end zone back in Week 2.
Pick: Brock Purdy ATD +600 |
