Seahawks vs. Lions Odds
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 48 -110o / -110u | +165 |
| Lions Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 48 -110o / -110u | -200 |
It wasn't pretty, but we somehow hit the over in our latest installment Lions vs. Vikings in Week 3. Or pushed at 52 if you got it at time of writing.
The Lions opened as a decently sized favorite (-6) for this Week 4 matchup against the Seahawks, but their line has since plummeted to -3.5. Detroit, however, is still poised to snap its streak of being an underdog since the Stafford/Patricia era, a feat that was almost accomplished in Week 2 until Washington took on money late.
After suffering a heartbreaking last-minute loss to Minnesota, the Lions have a bounce-back opportunity against the Seahawks.
Can the Lions turn it around with a depleted offense? Or will the increasing number of injuries be too much to overcome?
Let's find out.
Seahawks vs. Lions Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Seahawks and Lions match up statistically:
Seahawks vs. Lions DVOA Breakdown
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 12 | 22 | |
| Pass DVOA | 11 | 19 | |
| Rush DVOA | 22 | 24 | |
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 7 | 30 | |
| Pass DVOA | 12 | 31 | |
| Rush DVOA | 5 | 21 | |
While the Lions offense has been receiving well-deserved love for what they've done through three weeks, the Seahawks offense has flown under the radar as a solid group.
Seattle ranks 12th in offensive DVOA with Geno Smith leading the charge. Though the Seahawks have weapons on the outside with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, the rest of the unit is a bit mediocre.
Still, the numbers don't lie: With Smith at the helm, this is a top-12 passing offense. And he gets another chance to show out here, since the Lions defense is as bad as we imagined and features a secondary that routinely gets torched.
We may witness another shootout as the Lions corners of Jeff Okudah and Amani Oruwariye don't inspire much confidence.
Career stats for DET CBs Jeffrey Okudah & Amani Oruwariye …
Okudah:
– 1.82 yards per coverage snap
– 11.0 yards per targetOruwariye
– 1.23 yards per coverage snap
– 9.0 yards per targetNo way this guy doesn't go off in Week 4. pic.twitter.com/vdG01BsF9L
— Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) September 28, 2022
On the other side, this will be the Lions' toughest test yet. Not because they come in as a favorite or the opposition, but because their offense has been decimated with injuries.
Detroit will be without star running back D'Andre Swift (ankle/shoulder) and wideout sensation Amon-Ra St Brown (ankle). Both brutal losses and momentum killers for this high-flying offense. Wide receiver D.J. Chark was also downgraded to out with an ankle issue.
While the injuries to key playmakers are far from ideal, the Lions are not short on weapons. Also, Seattle's defense is lackluster and should present plenty of opportunities for Jamaal Williams, T.J. Hockenson, and Josh Reynolds to carry the load.
We may see the Lions take more deep shots down the field instead of relying on open field plays across the middle. Jared Goff already attempts passes longer than 15 yards at a rate of 20.54%, and he now has the opportunity to take more against the Seahawks' secondary.
If he lets it fly with success — currently he's only completing at 30.43% — then the Lions should move the ball with ease to counter Seattle's offensive attack.
Betting Picks
Pick: Over 47.5 | Bet to 48.5
I was a lot more confident in the over heading into this game before Swift, St. Brown and Chark were ruled out. Though the total has ticked down, I still like the number but will play it at a much smaller position.
The Lions offense still has enough weapons to do their part while the Seahawks have been a sneaky good offensive unit themselves.
Both teams field horrific defenses, mainly in the secondary, that can make any offense look good. I don't expect either unit to figure out a solution anytime soon.
Take the over at any number lower than 49. There could also be live opportunities to add on should either side start slow.
Bet Over 47.5 Right Now at FanDuel
