The Seattle Seahawks (8-7) and Chicago Bears (4-11) will play tonight at Soldier Field at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video for Week 17's Thursday Night Football matchup.
Seattle is favored by 4.5 points with the game total going down to a consensus 41.5. The Seahawks are a consensus -220 on the moneyline, while the Bears are +180.
Let’s get into our Seahawks vs. Bears predictions.
Seahawks vs. Bears Predictions, Picks
- Against the Spread: Seahawks -4 (-110)
- Over/Under Pick: Under 42.5 (-110)
- Player Props: Tyler Lockett Over 1.5 Receptions (-115)
Seahawks vs. Bears Parlay
You can parlay our three picks at DraftKings for a +600 SGP, as of noon ET, on Thursday night.
- Seahawks -4
- Under 42.5
- Tyler Lockett Over 1.5 Receptions (-120)
Seahawks vs. Bears Parlay Odds: +600 at DraftKings
Seahawks vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 41.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Moneyline: Seahawks -230, Bears +190
Odds via bet365 as of Thursday at 12:30 p.m. ET. Get the latest NFL odds here.
Seahawks vs. Bears Against the Spread Pick
By Billy Ward
Beyond draft position, the Bears don't have much to play for. They played like it last week against the Lions, going down 20-0 early and never pulling within 13.
This week, they take on a motivated Seahawks team that is still clinging to playoff hopes. Seattle has dropped two straight — both against NFC north teams — but is still just a game back of the Rams for the NFC West lead.
There's also the matter of the well-documented "Lions hangover" this season. Teams have struggled the week following playing the physical Lions.
Seattle lost as a favorite against the Giants following its date with Detroit, and Chicago got blown out by the 49ers after its first Lions game. This is the second for Chicago, with the impact exacerbated by the short week.
Taking the Seahawks' pregame spread also gives us a great live-betting opportunity, if you're into that sort of thing. Chicago is averaging just 7.3 first-half points per game, and a ridiculous 1.3 first-quarter points per game.
That means Seattle is highly likely to go up early, thereby making the spread even wider at that point. You could then come back on the Bears, creating a "middle" with a chance to win both bets.
Pick: Seahawks -4 (-110; Bet to -120)
Seahawks vs. Bears Pick: Over/Under
By John LanFranca
Seattle has surrendered 26 points or more in four consecutive games, but it matches up well with a Chicago offense I have little faith in.
For starters, the Bears have an astronomical 11.6% adjusted sack rate on offense this season — by far the highest in the league. It's also worth noting Geno Smith and company have the ninth-highest adjusted sack rate offensively, meaning that even if these teams start to move the ball between the 20s, a negative play that kills the drive is just around the corner.
Since their week 10 bye, the Seahawks have defended the run well, ranking third in success rate over that span. Caleb Williams and the Bears' passing attack will have to shoulder the load in sustaining drives on Thursday night.
Keenan Allen has been the major cog in that Bears' passing attack over the last few games. However, Seattle's defense is second best league wide in defending the opposing teams' slot receiver, allowing just 6.5 yards per target, according to Sharp Football.
The Chicago defense has been playing much worse over the latter half of the season, especially against the run. With that said, both Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet face uphill battles to be healthy for this game. Even if one of them plays, I would expect some limitations in their workloads.
We can dig through every metric known to man analyzing these two teams, but sometimes the handicap is staring at you right in the face.
The Bears have scored over 20 points just once since their Week 7 bye, averaging just 15 points per game. Six of those nine games have seen the under cash.
If the Chicago defense can muster just one average performance the remainder of the season, this would be the game it happens, playing at home in primetime at Soldier Field.
Pick: Under 42.5 (-110)
Tyler Lockett Player Prop Pick for Seahawks vs. Bears
By Matt Trebby
Since about Week 6, Tyler Lockett has taken a clear backseat to DK Metcalf and the emerging Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has broken out in the second half of the season.
The veteran Lockett is the Seahawks’ WR3, although that’s not awful since neither running back passes many catches and there’s not much of a legitimate option at tight end beyond Noah Fant.
Lockett ran 36 routes last week against the Vikings, which were his most since Week 11. After two weeks of going under this total, he had two receptions against Minnesota.
Lockett’s average depth of target was only 8.5 last week after back-to-back one-target weeks during which his aDOT was 22. It’s encouraging to see that number go down again because that means more high-percentage looks from Geno Smith.
Sean Koerner has Lockett projected for 2.2 receptions, while Chris Raybon has him pegged for 2.1. We’re not asking much of Lockett, just another couple of grabs in what could be a tricky spot for Seattle with its season on the line against the Bears.
Pick: Tyler Lockett Over 1.5 Receptions (-120)
