Steelers vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Props: Jaylen Warren, 2 More TD Bets
In the table below, you'll find each of Gilles Gallant's Steelers vs Bills Anytime Touchdown props for NFL Wild Card Monday. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific Anytime TD bet.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Pittsburgh Defense/ST
Anytime TD (+1000)
A classic Buffalo game is coming and no, I don’t mean offensive fireworks and lots of passing. I’m talking about cold, dreadful weather where it’s miserable to play football and you question why you chose to live there.
While games in these conditions can be entertaining, they don’t lend themselves well to betting Anytime TDs. With 25 mph sustained winds, throwing the ball could prove to be difficult and almost make TDs non-existent. That being said, the angle I like is Defensive and Special Teams for both squads.
For the Steelers, this feels like a no-brainer because even if the conditions are windy, Josh Allen is still going to throw — he had 19 interceptions this season. The Steelers had a 2.9% INT rate per dropback and 80 passes defended this season, both top-10 marks. This might be the Steelers' only way to score. With their luck/voodoo/magic or whatever you want to call it, I’d rather bank on that than Mason Rudolph making plays.
Pick: Pittsburgh Defense/ST Anytime TD (+1000)
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Buffalo Defense/ST
Anytime TD (+600)
Speaking of Rudolph, this could go badly for him if the Bills get off to a fast start.
If Buffalo’s pass-rush is winning, Rudolph will have turnovers. I wouldn't be surprised to see a pick-six or strip sack. Like the Steelers, the Bills have a high INT per dropback rate (3.3%) and finished in the top 10 in passes defended.
Pick: Buffalo Defense/ST Anytime TD (+600)
Jaylen Warren
Anytime TD (+360)
The only other angle I’d consider is Jaylen Warren at +360 or better.
He’s a better blocker than Najee Harris and is averaging close to six targets per game. Screens and dump-off passes to Warren could be a way for the Steelers to evade the Bills' pass-rush.
Pick: Jaylen Warren Anytime TD (+360)
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