Steelers vs Patriots Player Prop: Joey Porter Jr.
The second-round rookie has been amazing this year. He took over as a full-time player in Week 9 and has been one of the best CBs in the NFL since.
Porter has cleared this in three of five games since then, but that was because he was on an island going up against the opposition's No. 1 WR: DeAndre Hopkins, Amari Cooper, JaMarr Chase and Marquise Brown. He did an incredible job slowing all of them down, but those are guys who are still going to be force-fed targets.
Tonight, Porter will mainly be going up against DeVante Parker and Tyquan Thronton, two players who don’t draw too many targets. I can’t imagine Bailey Zappe forcing targets to whoever Porter is on.
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Porter has allowed one reception for every 21 coverage snaps, which is the best in the league
Zappe’s completion prop is only 15.5, so I'm not expecting too many potential tackles in the passing game. He’s also not too involved in Pittsburgh's run defense.
I'm projecting Porter for closer to 2.8 tackles + assists with a 68% chance of staying under 3.5.