It’s tough to pick a side for this Week 17 Sunday Night Football clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens, so I’m skipping it altogether and targeting player props instead.
If you’re looking for different ways to bet on NFL player props, I’d recommend PrizePicks. The app allows you to parlay player props for real money in 30 states, including states where online betting is unavailable.
Tyler Huntley
Over/Under 36.5 Rushing Yards
This line is far too high.
Huntley has eclipsed 35 rushing yards once in five games this season, falling well under in three straight. Huntley gets the reputation of a mobile quarterback, but the expectation falls well short of reality.
He is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry on 36 attempts. He’s had the opportunities from both scrambles and designed runs to establish himself as a solid dual-threat quarterback and has failed to do so thus far.
I’m making a long-winded argument to say that Huntley is not Lamar Jackson. His athleticism is short, and he has just a 64.9 PFF rushing grade this season.
Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has a good defense coached by a smart schemer in Mike Tomlin. Coach Tomlin knows how to pressure Huntley while also containing him, and the Ravens quarterback should fall well short of 37 rushing yards.
Pittsburgh already has film on Huntley, given the Steelers held him to 31 rushing yards on nine attempts three weeks ago. I don’t expect a big uptick in in this rematch.
I’ll fade Huntley’s rushing prop in the PrizePicks market, where I’ll likely pair it with another Baltimore ball carrier.
Pick: Under 36.5 rushing yards
Gus Edwards
Over/Under 42 Rushing Yards
Somebody has to get rushing yards for Baltimore — why not Gus Edwards?
Edwards has been consistently cashing his rushing prop, going over in six of his seven games this season. He’s had double-digit carries in five of seven games, and I don’t expect that to change — especially after Edwards’ last performance against Pittsburgh. He totaled 13 carries for 66 yards just three weeks ago in Pittsburgh and now he has home-field advantage on his side.
We should see a rush-heavy game script from John Harbaugh and the Ravens. As mentioned above, Huntley hasn’t impressed this season, ranking 22nd of 25 qualified quarterbacks in EPA per play since taking over the starting role in Week 12.
Instead, Harbaugh will likely try to play defense and run the ball. I like the Ravens to cover, and I believe Edwards will be a big reason why.
Our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Edwards for 45 rushing yards on Sunday Night Football, giving us enough of an edge to play this prop on PrizePicks.
Pick: Over 42 rushing yards
