Sunday NFL Odds, Picks, Predictions: Smart Money Headed for Steelers vs. Bengals (Sept. 11)

Sunday NFL Odds, Picks, Predictions: Smart Money Headed for Steelers vs. Bengals (Sept. 11) article feature image
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Justin K. Aller/Getty Images. Pictured: Steelers OLB T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

Steelers Odds+265
Bengals Odds-320
Over/Under44.5
DateSunday, September 11
Time1:00 p.m. ET
ChannelCBS

*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp bettors on the total for this contest between the Steelers and Bengals on Sunday afternoon.

The wiseguys love one side of the over/under to a pretty substantial degree.

Tailing heavy sharp action can allow you to extract value out of retail bettors and the rest of the broader market.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Sharp Pick

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The sharps are riding with the under at a market-best price of u44 (-110) at Caesars. For a book that's live in Kansas, roll with FanDuel's price at -108.

While about 60% of the retail bettors are betting the under for this line, about 75% of the money is on the same line.

That 15% discrepancy indicates a handful of big moneyed bettors are rocking with the under tonight.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on  a particular pick.

Pick: Under 44 (-110) or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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