Betting on NFL Anytime Touchdown parlays is incredibly fun, even if it's mostly a losing proposition that will drain your bankroll if you’re not careful. Most sportsbooks tend to clean up on this type of bet, so how do we scratch the “parlay itch” without overextending ourselves financially?
Allow me to introduce “The 180 Challenge.” This week, here are my 3 picks.
Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Parlay Picks
- A.J. Brown Anytime TD Scorer (+175)
- Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer (-120)
- Patrick Mahomes Anytime TD Scorer (+310)
Parlay Odds: +2300 (DraftKings)
Here’s how my weekly NFL parlay works. Every week of the season, I bet on a three-leg NFL anytime TD parlay that equates to +1800 or more. $10 per parlay ticket, $180 total for the season.
We hit our first 22-1 parlay of the season back in Week 6, and then followed that up with a 20-1 winner in Week 10. That means we’re playing with house money here, but that doesn't mean we can't keep winning.
Disclaimer: 18-1 parlays have less than a 5% chance of hitting, and that percentage only shrinks as you increase the parlay odds. Keep your expectations in check and bet on these for fun.
WR A.J. Brown
Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)
The Eagles will certainly lean on their run game, but +175 is simply too good of a price for A.J. Brown. He's a WR1 being priced like a WR2 in a matchup that's made for him.
Brown has feasted against man coverage throughout his career, and the Chiefs play man-coverage at a top-five rate.
Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley are the rightful favorites to score on the Eagles' side of the ball, but if the game script demands more out of Philadelphia's passing offense, that volume tends to go to Brown.
QB Jalen Hurts
Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120)
When these two teams met in the Super Bowl two years ago, Jalen Hurts had the shortest anytime touchdown odds of anyone. While Saquon Barkley holds that title this time around, I think Hurts could make the case to be the favorite once again.
Hurts ranks fifth in the NFL in carries inside the 5-yard line, and the Eagles' offense is quite predictable in short-distance conversions.
Put simply, when the Eagles get into the red zone, Hurts will undoubtedly get his carries.
QB Patrick Mahomes
Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+310)
Mahomes closed at +550 to score in the AFC Championship game and then proceeded to rush for two scores. While he's priced considerably lower this time around at +310, I still see enough value here to add Mahomes to this parlay and push us over the 18-1 threshold.
It's hard to gauge how to bet on Mahomes TD props. Sometimes he'll go multiple games with very few scrambles, but we also know how slithery he can on third down, extending plays with his legs.
While I don't love the +310 price for a straight bet, I'll add Mahomes to this anytime touchdown parlay to push our total odds to +2300.
