Chiefs vs Eagles Odds
We have Chiefs vs Eagles odds for the Super Bowl in 2023 — and in just over 12 hours, we've already seen significant line movement, with Philadelphia going from opening underdogs to somewhat comfortably favored against the spread.
First, FanDuel had Chiefs -1.5 on the board, but while Patrick Mahomes was still on stage with Jim Nantz, there was a big shift to Eagles -1.5. At most sportsbooks, the line has settled higher, at -2. FanDuel is the only major online book to still have Eagles -1.5, as of Monday at 5:45 p.m. ET.
Kansas City is back after a one-year absence from the Super Bowl, having lost the Bengals in last year's AFC Championship Game. The Eagles, meanwhile, are back for the first time in five seasons.
The Chiefs were without key playmakers but withstood a second-half charge from the Bengals to hold on and win the AFC Championship Game. The Eagles had to take down a 49ers offense that played a large portion of the NFC Championship Game without a quarterback who could throw.
Get a full game preview for both teams below and access to the latest Super Bowl odds here.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Chiefs and Eagles match up statistically:
Chiefs vs. Eagles DVOA Breakdown
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
Overall DVOA | 1 | 6 | |
Pass DVOA | 1 | 1 | — |
Rush DVOA | 9 | 21 |
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
Overall DVOA | 3 | 17 | |
Pass DVOA | 9 | 20 | |
Rush DVOA | 1 | 15 |
Chiefs
No Tyreek Hill, no problem.
The Chiefs had the No. 1 offense in the NFL during the regular season, according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric. Kansas City is first in Weighted DVOA and Pass DVOA, and a strong ninth in Rush DVOA.
Mahomes is the favorite to win his second MVP after improving on most statistics during the regular season. He had a higher completion percentage, more pass yards, higher yards-per-attempt average, more touchdowns and fewer interceptions.
That unit is still what carries Kansas City, which ranked 17th in Defensive DVOA this season, 20th against the pass and 15th against the run. Kansas City allowed more than 20 points just once in its previous four games before facing Cincinnati.
The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl on a seven-game winning streak. Their final five regular-season wins included just one against a playoff team, but it’s not their fault the Broncos and Raiders were so bad.
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Eagles
The Eagles have been the class of the NFC since Week 1.
Philadelphia has three losses this season, but only one came when Jalen Hurts was starting at quarterback.
The Eagles were one of three teams to rank in the top six of Football Outsiders’ Overall, Offensive and Defensive DVOAs. The other two were the Bills and 49ers, who Philly beat in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.
Philadelphia has made its living on offense through its run game, which has been led by Miles Sanders and Hurts. The RB-QB duo combined for 2,029 rushing yards during the regular season and scored 24 touchdowns on the ground.
The Eagles ran for 268 yards in the Divisional Round against the Giants, with Kenneth Gainwell leading the way with 112 rushing yards on 12 carries and Sanders gaining 90. Philadelphia followed that up with 148 rushing yards against the 49ers.
Defensively, Philadelphia thrives against the pass. The Eagles defense was first during the regular season in Pass DVOA, but 21st against the run. Cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry power a very impressive pass defense, as do the likes of Fletcher Cox and Hassan Reddick on the defensive line.
Betting Stats
Chiefs
Kansas City has won plenty of games outright, but it’s only 7-12 this season against the spread. The Chiefs are also 8-11 to the over.
Eagles
The Eagles are 10-9 ATS this season. They were 0-2 in the two games that saw Gardner Minshew start at quarterback, so Hurts is 10-7 (ATS) and 16-1 straight-up.
Philadelphia is right down the middle at 10-9 to the over this season.