Jerick McKinnon
Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-120; Bet to -155)
McKinnon has carried five or fewer times in 12 of 19 games this season, including four of his past five. The lone exception in the last five games was the Chiefs first playoff game where he carried 11 times for 25 yards. He was promptly reduced to four carries the following week.
McKinnon has been abysmal as a runner as of late, averaging just 1.8 yards per carry since Week 16, so there’s no reason to expect a sudden uptick again. That will especially be the case with Isiah Pacheco averaging more than five yards per carry over that span and Clyde Edwards-Helaire also back in the fold.
Pick: Jerick McKinnon Under 5.5 Rush Attempts (-125) |
Opening Kickoff to Be a Touchback (-160; Bet to -200)
Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has produced a touchback on 68 of 104 kickoffs (65.3%) and Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has done so on 50 of 80 (62.5%). Those numbers sell their true probability of a touchback short, however, as both kickers play their home games outdoors.
If we look only at indoor/retractable roof stadiums, Elliott has boomed a touchback on 22 of 23 opportunities (95.7%) and Butker has gone 15-of-18 (83.3%).
Pick: Opening Kickoff To Be a Touchback — Yes (-160) |
James Bradberry Tackles + Assists
Under 3.5 (-165; Bet to -443) | Under 2.5 (Bet to -124)
Bradberry has posted fewer than four combined tackles plus assists in 16 of 19 games (84.2%). In fact, he’s posted two or fewer more than half the time (11 of 19 games, or 57.9%).
Much of that stems from his excellence in coverage. Bradberry has allowed just 44 completions on 94 targets this season (46.0%), which equates to a catch every 16.5 snaps in coverage. His 49 tackles plus assists closely mirror those numbers.
With Tyreek Hill no longer in Kansas City, the Chiefs don’t have a wide receiver that can consistently beat Bradberry, so his tackle opportunities should once again be scarce.
Pick: James Bradberry Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-200) |
