Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Pick: NFL Week 12 Preview

Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Pick: NFL Week 12 Preview article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Baker Mayfield (left) and Tommy DeVito.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) and New York Giants (2-8) meet in NFL Week 12. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. The game will be broadcast on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+.

The Buccaneers are favored by 6 points over the Giants (Buccaneers -6) with the game total set at over/under 40.5 points scored. The Buccaneers are -275 favorites to win outright, while the Giants are +220 to pull off the upset.

The Buccaneers are coming off their bye week and have lost 4 straight games, giving up 31.3 points per game in that stretch. The Giants are also coming off their bye week and have lost 5 in a row. Daniel Jones was benched and subsequently released with New York turning to Tommy DeVito under center.

Let's get into my Buccaneers vs. Giants predictions and NFL picks.


Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction

Spread

This bet is not about Tommy DeVito. He's not the answer to the Giants' problems.

Instead, I'm primarily betting on New York's defense getting to Baker Mayfield and causing problems. I'll take the 6 points with this home 'dog..

Moneyline

I'm not betting the Giants moneyline. I'll happily take the points instead and bet on it being a tight game.

Over/Under

My projection for this game's total is 40, but I don't see enough of an edge to bet either side.

My Pick: Giants +6 (-105)

Buccaneers vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Buccaneers Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. EST
CBS
Giants Logo
Buccaneers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6
-115
40.5
-110o / -110u
-275
Giants Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6
-105
40.5
-110o / -110u
+220
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
BetMGM Logo
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants spread: Buccaneers -6 (-110), Giants +6 (-110)
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants over/under: 40.5 points scored
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants moneyline: Buccaneers -275, Giants +220
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants best bet: Giants +6 (-105)

MyBuccaneers vs. Giants pick is on the home underdog. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Buccaneers vs. Giants NFL Week 12 Preview

Tommy DeVito is terrible. I’m not going to sit here and try to sell you on him.

I think this is going to be a low-scoring game. It features two teams that play at a slow pace, playing outdoors in potentially windy conditions.

This pick is less about DeVito and more about the Giants’ defensive matchup against the Buccaneers offense and Baker Mayfield, who we like to bet against when he’s going to be under pressure. Specifically, we like to fade Mayfield against teams that don’t have to blitz to get pressure on him.

The Giants fit that mold — it’s one of their key strengths.

New York will be boosted by Tristan Wirfs’ injury. The Buccaneers left tackle’s status is up in the air, and this would be a difficult matchup for him to return to. Ideally, for this bet, he’s out.

Kayvon Thibodeaux should be back this week for the Giants, which only enhances their front seven. I can see New York putting Mayfield under pressure and forcing him into multiple mistakes.

According to our NFL Luck Rankings, the Giants are the unluckiest team in the league. New York has five one-possession losses this season — six if you include the loss to the Bengals that saw Cincinnati run for a touchdown in the dying moments of the game.

The Buccanneers, meanwhile, were outgained by almost 300 yards in their win over the Lions, and they beat the Eagles early this season when A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith were both out. Tampa Bay also faced Spencer Rattler and faced Jayden Daniels in his NFL debut.

When you dig into DeVito’s numbers, they’re actually a little better on deep balls than Daniel Jones. Maybe this is a game where Malik Nabers is more involved.

I’m not worried about motivation for the Giants either. The players aren’t tanking; they’re professionals who have jobs to do and are playing for their paychecks.

The owner might’ve helped make the call to bench Jones, but the players aren’t going to quit.

My Pick: Giants +6 (-105)


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About the Author
Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Follow Stuckey @Stuckey2 on Twitter/X.

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