Texans vs Ravens Player Props: C.J. Stroud, Isaiah Likely, Nico Collins
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's Texans vs Ravens player props for the AFC Divisional Round playoff game on Saturday. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific prop bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Texans vs. Ravens
C.J. Stroud
Over 239.5 Passing Yards (-110)
I understand why some would fade Stroud against one of the best defenses in the NFL, but I believe the quality and reputation of Baltimore's defense just allows us to squeeze more value out of Stroud props. It’s a strategy that worked last week against the Browns and I still believe that the market still hasn't gotten a handle of just how good the rookie signal-caller is.
Stroud's passing yards line stands at 239.5 — that’s a number that he’s covered in seven of his last nine outings, including that incredible Wild Card Round performance against Cleveland's stout defense.
The Texans have total belief in their young QB and I don’t think they’ll take it out of his hands now. Not only that, but if the Texans go down early and find themselves in a negative game script, it’s only going to encourage more passing.
Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 239.5 Passing Yards (-110)
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Texans vs. Ravens
C.J. Stroud
Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+165)
There simply aren’t enough superlatives to describe Stroud. As much as I fear the Ravens defense, which ranks first in defensive DVOA, I don’t believe that Stroud does.
Stroud has proven again and again this season that he is both defense and situation proof. Whatever the scheme, he can beat it. Whatever the situation — playoff pressure, playing from behind, receivers out due to injury, etc. — he fights through it all and triumphs.
Over the last two weeks, he’s been under immense pressure against the Colts and Browns and still threw multiple TD passes. I'm backing him to do it again at a big price of +165. He’s had nine games with at least two TD passes this season.
Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+165)
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Texans vs. Ravens
Isaiah Likely
Over 3.5 Receptions (+120)
This is a bit of a risky one as a lot of it depends on how much weight you put into Mark Andrews being a full participant in practice this week.
We know that Andrews is Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, but this is the playoffs. I can’t see Jackson and head coach John Harbaugh putting their faith into somebody returning from a serious ankle injury. For what it's worth, Ian Rapoport reported on Friday that Andrews is unlikely to be activated.
Likely became a key part of this offense when Andrews went down. In his last five games, he’s had 22 targets and scored five touchdowns. I’m buying the dip and backing the Coastal Carolina product to notch at least four receptions at plus money.
Pick: Isaiah Likely Over 3.5 Receptions (+120)
Texans vs. Ravens
Nico Collins
Anytime Touchdown (+170)
In many ways, this is me doubling down on Stroud throwing for multiple touchdowns, because if he does, then I simply can’t see his favorite target Nico Collins not being the recipient of one of them.
Collins has nine TDs on the season (postseason included), including five in his last seven games. Standing at 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds, Collins is a real red-zone threat and is fed plenty of targets from Stroud.
At +170, I’m happy to back Collins to continue his scoring run.
Pick: Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown (+170)
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