Sean Koerner — our Director of Predictive Analytics and the seventh-most accurate fantasy football ranker of this season — projected the spread value of every quarterback and key player in the Divisional Round of the 2022 NFL playoffs.
He also captures the relative value of starters on both sides of the ball for every team using a color scale, adding the approximate number of points a select few are worth to the spread. We've outlined those in order of this round's matchups below the ranking of quarterback values.
Note: Each player's value is relative to their worth to their team, the depth behind them, and other context-rich situations.
Divisional Round QB Spread Values
| Quarterback | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | Bucs | 8.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Packers | 8 |
| Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | 8 |
| Josh Allen | Bills | 6.5 |
| Joe Burrow | Bengals | 5.5 |
| Ryan Tannehill | Titans | 5.5 |
| Matthew Stafford | Rams | 5.5 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 49ers | 2.5-3 |
Most Valuable Non-QBs
| Player | POS | Team | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Donald | DE | Rams | 2 |
| Davante Adams | WR | Packers | 1.5-2 |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | Rams | 1.5 |
| Jalen Ramsey | CB | Rams | 1.5 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | Titans | 1-1.5 |
| Chris Jones | DE | Chiefs | 1-1.5 |
| Mike Evans | WR | Bucs | 1-1.5 |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | Chiefs | 1-1.5 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | Chiefs | 1-1.5 |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | 49ers | 1 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | Titans | 1 |
| George Kittle | TE | 49ers | 1 |
| Nick Bose | DE | 49ers | 1 |
| Rob Gronkowski | TE | Bucs | 1 |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | Bills | 1 |
Spread Values By Team
Not every player is worth anything to the spread, but Sean rates the relative value of each team's starters by using the following color scale.
Bengals-Titans Values
49ers-Packers Values
Rams-Bucs Values
Bills-Chiefs Values
