Tom Brady's initial retirement report unsurprisingly impacted next year's Super Bowl market.
His official retirement may change it even more.
The Buccaneers' 2023 championship odds dropped from +1000 to +2000 at DraftKings after reports leaked Saturday, which shook up the top of the field.
Top Super Bowl Odds Before Brady's Retirement
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +700 |
| Bills | +800 |
| Buccaneers | +1000 |
| Rams | +1100 |
| Packers | +1200 |
| Cowboys | +1400 |
| 49ers | +1400 |
| Bengals | +1400 |
| Broncos | +1500 |
| Ravens | +1800 |
| Titans | +2000 |
Super Bowl Odds After Brady's Retirement
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +650 |
| Bills | +700 |
| Rams | +1100 |
| Cowboys | +1400 |
| Packers | +1500 |
| Broncos | +1500 |
| Ravens | +1800 |
| Buccaneers | +2000 |
| Titans | +2000 |
*Odds as of Saturday afternoon.
Once Brady denied the report, the odds came back down to +1200. We are monitoring sportsbooks to see how they change after his official announcement.
Over the last 18 years of his playing career, Brady's teams never closed higher than +1200 to win the Super Bowl.
Before Brady signed with the Buccaneers during the 2020 offseason, Tampa Bay was a 50-1 long shot, implying just a 1.9% chance to win the Super Bowl.
After landing with the club, Tampa Bay immediately shifted to 18-1, and stayed in the 12-1 to 18-1 range until the midway point of the year.
The Buccaneers peaked at 8-1 during the 2020 regular season, and entered the postseason 10-1, where they won the last of Brady's seven Super Bowls.
Brady was a treasure trove for bettors, covering nearly 60% of the games he started.
To put into perspective just how successful he was — and how durable he was — Brady recorded more wins against the spread (209) than the Panthers (205), Jaguars (180) or Texans (139) have wins …. in franchise history.
Brady's historic tenure ended in the NFC Divisional Round against the Rams. He finished 25-21-1 against the spread (54.3%) in the playoffs.
