If the early 2022 NFL MVP betting market is any indication, there's not much belief Tom Brady will stay retired.
Caesars reported Brady — who announced his retirement on Feb. 1 — is the second-most popular bet in the MVP betting market, attracting 18% of the public tickets and 21% of the dollars wagered.
Brady opened 45-1. A $100 would pay out $4500.
If Brady doesn't take a snap next season, the bet would be voided.
Second-year quarterback Trey Lance, meanwhile, has been the biggest mover at Caeasars, shifting from +25000 to +7500.
Last year's No. 3-overall pick's garnered more than double the tickets of Brady (37%) and half the total handle (53% of the money).
The dual-threat Niners rookie sat behind Jimmy Garoppolo for the bulk of 2021, but contributed five touchdown passes and another on the ground in six games (two starts).
The Rams may be the team to beat next season, but the 49ers weren't too far behind the eventual champs.
While San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan's struggled in big moments, he's tallied a couple double-digit win seasons, reaching the NFC Championship or Super Bowl twice. In the MVP race, wins are just as important as individual stats.
The two co-favorites for 2022 are Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers (+700).
The latter took home back-to-back honors last week, but where Rodgers chooses to go for the following campaign and beyond could have an impact on the early market.
“I think people could be a little hesitant to bet Rodgers until they know where he’s going to go,” Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook, said in a statement. “People are already looking for bigger values anyway, so it wouldn’t surprise me if there wasn’t as much action on him like last offseason.
