Travis Kelce, Ja'Marr Chase and Joe Mixon lead the charge as the most popular NFL player prop bets for Sunday night's Bengals vs. Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.
One of our premier data analytics expert Nick Giffen assessed whether Kelce, Chase and Mixon's most popular picks are valuable. These prop bets exclusively target the anytime touchdown marketplace.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Bengals vs. Chiefs Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Travis Kelce to score a touchdown at anytime (-120)
- Ja'Marr Chase to score a touchdown at anytime (-115)
- Joe Mixon to score a touchdown at anytime (+105)
*Odds and data are according to PointsBet as of Sunday afternoon.
The best pick on the market is on Chase to score a touchdown tonight at a market-best price of +100 at DraftKings. That's exactly his fair value price.
Other than that, the best value you'll get is on Joe Mixon to score a TD with PointsBet. That number is at +105.
And while its fair value price should be +110, the premium you'd pay is relatively doable at 0.8%. If you're already bullish on that prop, there's no reason not to pull trigger, especially with some of the market pricing that prop as low as -130.
A premium of 0.8% implies that you're giving up about 0.8% in expected value just by pressing submit on that bet.
Conversely, a betting edge of 0.8% would mean you're gaining 0.8% in value off the bat.
Travis Kelce at +100 at FanDuel is your next best option in the anytime TD market. His fair value line is +105, giving that pick a 1.2% premium.
