In looking at Jaguars vs. Chiefs player props and how the teams match up, it's clear where there's an edge for the Kansas City offense.
We're attacking Travis Kelce player props, with the tight end on the cusp of making NFL history on Saturday. Our experts' projections are backing him to do that, as is the matchup against the NFL's worst defense against his position.
Travis Kelce
Over 6.5 Receptions | Over 79.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM)
Here’s Kelce’s recent playoff resume:
| Round | Opponent | Stat Line |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 Divisional Round | Browns | 8 catches, 109 yards, 1 TD |
| 2021 AFC Championship | Bills | 13 catches, 118 yards, 2 TDs |
| 2021 Super Bowl | Buccaneers | 10 catches, 133 yards, 0 TDs |
| 2022 Wild Card Round | Steelers | 5 catches, 108 yards, 1 TD |
| 2022 Divisional Round | Bills | 8 catches, 96 yards, 1 TD |
| 2022 AFC Championship | Bengals | 10 catches, 95 yards, 1 TD |
Not too shabby.
When the games matter most, Mahomes goes to his most reliable target early and often. Kelce is averaging 11.17 targets per game over his last six playoff games.
Kelce’s snap counts also go up in the Divisional Round and later. He’s played at least 86% in the five games after the Wild Card Round over the last two years. He was at 75% or below twice in two of the Chiefs’ last four regular-season games.
Kelce is also going for NFL playoff history in this game. He needs 99 yards to pass Rob Gronkowski for the most receiving yards by a tight end in playoff history. That would put him in second place, trailing only Jerry Rice and Julian Edelman.
With that, the projections for Kelce are strong.
Kelce is projected for 6.8 receptions and 79.5 receiving yards by Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon. Those are both over his 6.5 reception and 78.5 receiving yard totals at BetMGM.
