Vikings at Cowboys Odds & Picks
- Odds: Cowboys -3
- Over/Under: 48
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: NBC
Odds as of noon ET on Sunday and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Public bettors like the Dallas Cowboys to cover the short spread against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football, with more than 55% of tickets and money backing America's Team as of Sunday afternoon.
But is that where the best betting value is on this game?
Our experts reveal how they're betting the primetime matchup, complete with an in-game wager and a prop bet.
Stuckey: Cowboys -3 or Better Live
This line is spot on, but I'll be looking for Dallas live if I can get better than a field goal early.
Now healthy, the Cowboys offensive line is as good as any in the NFL, so they're more than capable of neutralizing the Double-A Gap blitzes and edge pressure from the Vikings, who have two of the best coming off the edge in Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffen. And if Dak Prescott is given a clean pocket, the Cowboys have the talent on the outside to take advantage of what I consider a vulnerable Viking corner group, primarily as a result of Xavier Rhodes, once a lockdown No. 1 corner, getting up there in age.
Throw in the fact that Adam Thielen is out once again, limiting the Vikings aerial attack, and I think the Cowboys will have an easier time moving the ball.
Matthew Freedman: Ezekiel Elliott Over 2.5 Receptions (-200)
No one likes a lot of juice, but sometimes that's where the value is, and that's the case here.
For the year, Zeke has three receptions on 3.8 targets per game, but I think those numbers aren't truly representative of his pass-catching potential.
In Weeks 1-2, he had a reduced workload due to his offseason holdout. In Weeks 3 and 7-9, the Cowboys won by 14-plus points, and Zeke wasn't needed as a receiver.
But in Weeks 4-6, the Cowboys played three relatively close games, and Zeke had 4.3 receptions on 5.3 targets. And last year in 15 regular-season games, Zeke averaged 5.1 receptions on 6.3 targets and had fewer than three receptions just twice.
The Cowboys are favored by just three points, so I expect a close game. Since last year, Zeke has averaged 5.1 receptions on 6.2 targets in the 15 games that have fallen within a final scoring margin of +/- 10 points (per RotoViz Game Splits App).
The Vikings are a nondescript No. 15 in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA against running backs.
As long as this game stays relatively close, Zeke has a great shot to get three-plus receptions. In the FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have Zeke projected for 3.7 receptions. [In New Jersey? Bet now at DraftKings]
