NFL player prop bets can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so the market can often be less efficient than NFL sides and totals.
This is where the FantasyLabs Player Props tool comes in handy.
We leverage prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet then receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
Note that unders have typically done the best in our tool. Last season unders were profitable even with grades below 10, with all hitting at a 59.0% rate. Don’t take our word for it, though: Our tool keeps track of its record at all times, so you can query performance of any time frame.
Vikings vs. Seahawks Prop Bets
Now let’s take a look at two of the top props worth considering for the Monday Night Football contest between the Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks.
Seahawks RB Chris Carson
THE PICK: Under 69.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Given the Seahawks' propensity to want to run the ball, betting the under on their props for their running backs is always worrisome.
That said, this seems like a solid opportunity to short Carson in this spot. For starters, the Vikings have been stronger against the run than the pass this season, ranking fourth in Football Outsiders' rush DVOA and 16th against the pass.
Additionally, Carson has four fumbles in his last three games. I'd have to imagine he's on a short leash tonight despite the Seahawks calling him "their guy." Even so, the Seattle offensive line has been mediocre in run-blocking this season, ranking 22nd Football Outsiders' adjusted line yards.
At the time of writing, we have Carson projected for 62.8 rushing yards in the props tool. Id bet this down to -140.
That's the only prop that has caught my attention so far, but I may add more into the app as the day progresses. You can follow me and sign up to get notifications when I add bets there.
