The Washington Commanders (6-2) and New York Giants (2-6) will kick off the Sunday afternoon slate of NFL Week 9. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and can be streamed on YouTube TV and other streaming services. The Commanders are 4-point favorites over the Giants (Commanders -4) with the game total set at 44 points. The Commanders are -210 on the moneyline to win outright, while Denver is +170 to pull off the upset.
The Commanders won 18-15 last week over the Bears. Jayden Daniels' phenomenal rookie season continued last week, as he threw for 326 yards and a touchdown on the way to Washington's 6th victory in the last seven games. The Giants lost 26-18 to the Steelers last week. Daniel Jones will be looking to bounce back after throwing 0 touchdown passes 2 interceptions in his last three outings.
Let's get into my Commanders vs. Giants prediction and my NFL picks for Week 9.
Commanders vs. Giants Expert Picks
Spread
This pick is powered by our NFL Luck Rankings. The Giants are the clear unlucky team after a week that saw them move the ball efficiently against the Steelers but get slowed down significantly by penalties, while the Commanders won on a miracle Hail Mary.
I'm taking the points with the Giants this week.
Moneyline
I'm not betting the moneyline and am simply backing New York to keep this one close.
Over/Under
I'm not betting the total for this game.
My pick: Giants +4
Commanders vs. Giants Odds, Point Spread, Total, Lines
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 44.5 -110 / -110 | -210 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 44.5 -110 / -110 | +170 |
- Commanders vs. Giants spread: Commanders -4
- Commanders vs. Giants over/under: 44.5 points
- Commanders vs. Giants moneyline: Commanders -210, Giants +170
- Commanders vs. Giants pick: Giants +4
- 88% of bets and 91% of the money are on the Commanders to cover the spread.
- 82% of bets and 77% of the money are on the over.
- 94% of bets and 98% of the money on the moneyline are on the Commanders.
My Giants vs. Commanders best bet is on New York as a home underdog. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Commanders vs. Giants NFL Week 9
This game has set off a big signal in our NFL Luck Rankings.
For those of you unfamiliar with our NFL Luck Rankings, when there’s a difference of 24 or more spots between teams’ rankings, we include that in our model. Well, Washington enters Week 9 in fifth and the Giants are 29th.
I’ve also developed a metric called Scoring Luck Gap that indicates whether teams are due for offensive regression, and that has a difference of 31.2% which indicates the Giants are firmly the unlucky team in this matchup.
The Commanders are coming off of a Hail Mary win over the Bears last week that had to be seen to be believed. The Giants, meanwhile, played the Steelers pretty evenly on Monday Night Football. New York lost by eight, but my Expected Scores metric indicates its performance was more indicative of a three-point win.
The Giants covered their team total against a strong Steelers defense and remain relatively healthy outside of an injury to running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. If he’s out, it wouldn’t really impact the spread since it’s hard for a non-quarterback to have a big impact on the line.
If the Giants perform similarly offensively this week against the Commanders, I like their chances of moving the ball well. From there, it comes down to whether New York can find the end zone more often. Positive regression should hit on that front eventually, and facing a much weaker defense should help.
This line opened at Commanders -2.5 on Sunday, so we’ve already crossed through the key number of -3. Getting an extra 1.5 points from Sunday makes this a prime spot to back New York.
Pick: Giants +4 (-110)
How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming
| Location: | MetLife Stadium |
| Date: | Sunday, Nov. 3 |
| Kickoff Time: | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | FOX / YouTube TV |
Giants vs. Commanders is scheduled for a 1 p.m. ET start time, live from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, on Sunday, Nov. 3. The game is broadcasted live by FOX and is streaming on YouTube TV.
NFL Weather
