Editor's note: This story has been updated with Sean Koerner's pick 'em rankings as of Saturday night. Note that with Cam Newton testing positive for COVID-19, the Patriots-Chiefs game that was originally scheduled for Sunday is being postponed but has yet to be officially rescheduled.
Straight up. Against the spread.
Whether you're playing in your office's (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I've created pick 'em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator.
These pick 'em ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds. In theory, those odds should be fairly close to my ratings, but if we can identify any differences between the two, we can exploit them.
Now let's run through Week 4 pick 'em confidence ratings for straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) contests — note that these are as of mid-week, but I'll update this story with my latest rankings on Saturday.
Week 4 NFL Pick 'Em Rankings
These are for straight-up pick 'em pools.
Week 4 NFL Pick 'Em Rankings
I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.
Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.
