What Tim Boyle Over Zach Wilson Means for Dolphins vs. Jets Odds on Black Friday

What Tim Boyle Over Zach Wilson Means for Dolphins vs. Jets Odds on Black Friday article feature image
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Dolphins vs. Jets Black Friday Odds

Dolphins Logo
Friday, Nov. 24
3 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime
Jets Logo
Dolphins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-9.5
-110
41
-110o / -110u
-450
Jets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+9.5
-110
41
-110o / -110u
+350
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo

It's official: Jets quarterback Zach Wilson has finally been benched.

That's after a hapless string of games in which the Jets didn't score a touchdown for 40 straight possessions. The streak was finally broken on Sunday vs. the Bills — but it required a fake punt to get there. And in the end, Wilson didn't complete a single pass to a wide receiver during a 32-6 blowout in Buffalo.

So, journeyman third stringer Tim Boyle will take the reins in the Meadowlands for a Black Friday showdown against the Dolphins that has major AFC East implications. The Jets find their odds to make the playoffs plummet to below 1% with a loss — not that the playoffs are much of a distinct possibility, anyway. The odds of Aaron Rodgers returning this season will take a nosedive alongside with it.

And a Dolphins loss opens the door for the Bills to retake the division lead.

But oddly, despite Wilson's rank as the worst starting quarterback in the league according to expected points added + completion percentage above expected (EPA/play + CPOE), the Jets' odds vs. the Dolphins fell precipitously when it was announced he'd be benched.

The line moved from a consensus of Jets +7.5 to +9.5 in the aftermath of the news.

That jibes somewhat with our director of analytics Sean Koerner's assessment of this game. He said he expects a roughly 1- to 1.5-point drop off from Wilson to Boyle.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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